Blue Ridge
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Blue Ridge clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-04.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	7% 3 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 6% 65%	105112
	Night	8% 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 62%	102642
Transparency	Day	21% 4 9% 19% 24% 24%	104868
	Night	24% 4 10% 18% 21% 23%	102475
Seeing	Day	8% 7% 20% 31% 25% 8%	15318
	Night	9% 4 18% 38% 28% 4	24594

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	16% 9% 3 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 39%	2617
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 10% 4 9% 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 35%	2860
	21st to end	Day	21% 8% 3 7% 4 3 5% 4 5% 7% 32%	3146
February	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 6% 5% 45%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 8% 44%	1739
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 49%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 10% 4 10% 6% 5% 6% 4 6% 6% 31%	3368
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 4 2 4 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 57%	3490
	21st to end	Day	12% 7% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 7% 39%	3899
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 8% 2 4 4 4 5% 4 6% 7% 44%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 3 2 4 3 3 4 4 5% 7% 57%	2249
	21st to end	Day	3 4 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 63%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	5% 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 5% 75%	3969
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 4 6% 79%	4239
	21st to end	Day	2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 7% 77%	4813
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 8% 66%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 2 4 6% 80%	2660
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5% 82%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 3 92%	4420
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 86%	4235
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 5% 88%	4455
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5% 6% 76%	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 88%	3851
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5% 86%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 1 2 4 86%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 1 3 2 2 2 3 4 6% 74%	2280
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 79%	2016
October	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 4 5% 76%	3180
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 4 6% 73%	3161
	21st to end	Day	4 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 64%	3448
November	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 1 3 3 3 4 3 6% 7% 58%	1824
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 51%	1710
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 1 4 3 4 4 3 5% 5% 56%	1530
December	1st to 10th	Day	14% 6% 3 5% 4 3 3 3 6% 6% 47%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 10% 3 6% 4 2 3 2 4 5% 32%	1928
	21st to end	Day	21% 8% 3 6% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 37%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	13% 7% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 8% 46%	4313
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 3 7% 4 4 5% 4 5% 6% 35%	4110
	21st to end	Night	20% 8% 3 7% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 34%	4521
February	1st to 10th	Night	15% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 5% 50%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 2 6% 4 3 4 4 5% 8% 49%	2326
	21st to end	Night	12% 4 2 4 3 3 2 4 5% 6% 55%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	13% 8% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 38%	3504
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 1 3 3 3 3 2 4 5% 61%	3490
	21st to end	Night	11% 7% 2 8% 5% 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 43%	3752
April	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 1 5% 5% 4 3 3 4 8% 54%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 1 3 3 3 3 4 5% 7% 61%	1879
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 5% 9% 66%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 6% 78%	3002
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 6% 80%	2656
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 6% 82%	2762
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 3 3 3 2 3 4 8% 69%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 1 4 6% 81%	1520
	21st to end	Night	1 1 2 1 1 3 2 3 5% 82%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 3 92%	2540
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 85%	2726
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 8% 81%	3109
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 2 1 2 2 3 5% 8% 72%	2848
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 3 5% 86%	2994
	21st to end	Night	2 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 6% 83%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 3 7% 85%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 4 6% 75%	1900
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 6% 80%	2161
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 77%	3800
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 7% 73%	3777
	21st to end	Night	4 2 1 3 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 66%	4121
November	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 1 5% 3 3 3 3 6% 8% 58%	2326
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 56%	2470
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 1 4 4 3 3 2 5% 6% 59%	2645
December	1st to 10th	Night	15% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 48%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 8% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 5% 6% 33%	3276
	21st to end	Night	17% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 37%	4862

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	45% 9% 10% 26% 8% 2	2617
	11th to 20th	Day	51% 7% 10% 14% 12% 6%	2860
	21st to end	Day	51% 7% 11% 16% 11% 4	3146
February	1st to 10th	Day	39% 6% 8% 20% 19% 8%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 6% 10% 19% 20% 8%	1748
	21st to end	Day	35% 4 11% 24% 18% 9%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	50% 7% 12% 14% 15% 3	3368
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 5% 10% 27% 19% 12%	3490
	21st to end	Day	39% 9% 15% 20% 14% 3	3899
April	1st to 10th	Day	36% 7% 13% 19% 19% 6%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 7% 13% 23% 23% 8%	2252
	21st to end	Day	19% 5% 15% 27% 27% 7%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	13% 3 10% 28% 24% 22%	3969
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 9% 27% 36% 16%	4242
	21st to end	Day	9% 4 13% 34% 29% 11%	4814
June	1st to 10th	Day	17% 5% 12% 27% 28% 10%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 11% 22% 35% 23%	2660
	21st to end	Day	6% 2 7% 15% 34% 36%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 3 8% 14% 71%	4351
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 1 4 9% 15% 65%	4161
	21st to end	Day	4 1 3 7% 24% 61%	4315
August	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 4 11% 26% 48%	4076
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 4 10% 41% 41%	3890
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 5% 12% 36% 40%	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	5% 1 4 9% 30% 50%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 2 9% 22% 38% 16%	2280
	21st to end	Day	11% 2 6% 17% 34% 30%	2016
October	1st to 10th	Day	12% 3 5% 11% 27% 43%	3180
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 3 5% 25% 30% 22%	3161
	21st to end	Day	20% 3 8% 23% 32% 15%	3448
November	1st to 10th	Day	25% 5% 10% 27% 21% 12%	1824
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 6% 11% 23% 20% 7%	1710
	21st to end	Day	30% 4 10% 21% 24% 11%	1530
December	1st to 10th	Day	37% 5% 10% 21% 18% 8%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	56% 5% 7% 12% 15% 4	1928
	21st to end	Day	46% 7% 14% 18% 12% 3	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	35% 9% 19% 23% 10% 4	4313
	11th to 20th	Night	48% 8% 13% 12% 11% 7%	4110
	21st to end	Night	49% 6% 12% 14% 13% 5%	4521
February	1st to 10th	Night	36% 4 9% 20% 21% 11%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 5% 11% 20% 20% 11%	2328
	21st to end	Night	30% 4 10% 26% 23% 7%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	41% 10% 15% 14% 17% 3	3504
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 3 10% 25% 21% 13%	3490
	21st to end	Night	37% 6% 16% 23% 14% 4	3752
April	1st to 10th	Night	30% 6% 14% 20% 22% 8%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 6% 13% 27% 18% 13%	1879
	21st to end	Night	17% 5% 12% 31% 29% 7%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 9% 24% 31% 21%	3002
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 13% 20% 31% 26%	2656
	21st to end	Night	7% 3 12% 34% 29% 15%	2762
June	1st to 10th	Night	15% 5% 10% 26% 29% 14%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 8% 21% 36% 27%	1520
	21st to end	Night	7% 3 5% 14% 30% 41%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 2 9% 14% 72%	2500
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 1 3 9% 12% 67%	2677
	21st to end	Night	4 1 3 10% 20% 62%	3011
August	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 4 11% 18% 53%	2839
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 4 9% 27% 56%	3021
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 3 12% 31% 45%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 4 9% 28% 53%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 8% 20% 35% 23%	1900
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 7% 17% 29% 37%	2161
October	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 6% 10% 18% 53%	3800
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 3 8% 25% 28% 24%	3777
	21st to end	Night	19% 3 7% 21% 29% 22%	4121
November	1st to 10th	Night	24% 5% 10% 24% 21% 16%	2326
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 4 11% 27% 21% 9%	2470
	21st to end	Night	27% 5% 9% 20% 25% 14%	2645
December	1st to 10th	Night	37% 5% 9% 19% 18% 11%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	51% 5% 11% 13% 17% 4	3276
	21st to end	Night	45% 8% 12% 17% 13% 4	4862

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	31% 10% 22% 19% 15% 3	232
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 10% 19% 32% 17% 5%	370
	21st to end	Day	16% 8% 19% 27% 25% 5%	407
February	1st to 10th	Day	18% 14% 16% 26% 22% 5%	370
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 13% 22% 25% 15% 5%	401
	21st to end	Day	15% 10% 25% 30% 16% 3	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	20% 13% 26% 28% 10% 4	460
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 10% 23% 24% 17% 6%	460
	21st to end	Day	14% 15% 27% 27% 16% 2	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	14% 11% 27% 25% 18% 5%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 12% 29% 24% 19% 6%	452
	21st to end	Day	4 12% 26% 26% 24% 8%	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	5% 11% 30% 28% 21% 5%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 8% 26% 31% 22% 9%	488
	21st to end	Day	2 7% 23% 34% 25% 9%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 8% 24% 34% 23% 7%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	2 8% 22% 38% 28% 2	490
	21st to end	Day	1 3 22% 39% 30% 6%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 13% 44% 33% 7%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 13% 39% 38% 8%	484
	21st to end	Day	1 1 13% 41% 34% 11%	531
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 14% 41% 30% 11%	487
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 17% 33% 32% 14%	477
	21st to end	Day	1 2 12% 36% 37% 14%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 12% 37% 36% 13%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	2 7% 16% 34% 30% 10%	490
	21st to end	Day	2 4 18% 33% 30% 12%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 20% 28% 27% 14%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 6% 19% 27% 29% 13%	490
	21st to end	Day	9% 7% 19% 29% 25% 11%	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	9% 8% 20% 24% 28% 10%	402
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 7% 17% 27% 30% 8%	270
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 21% 33% 25% 3	185
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 9% 22% 25% 18% 8%	180
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 7% 24% 27% 17% 6%	180
	21st to end	Day	20% 10% 21% 26% 19% 5%	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	19% 5% 19% 33% 21% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 18% 37% 19% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	17% 5% 18% 33% 25% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	17% 6% 18% 35% 22% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 7% 22% 31% 22% 5%	744
	21st to end	Night	14% 7% 20% 37% 19% 2	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 23% 30% 22% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 19% 31% 25% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 24% 38% 18% 1	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 26% 38% 20% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 7% 26% 34% 21% 4	751
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 24% 39% 23% 3	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 5% 25% 37% 26% 3	660
	11th to 20th	Night	4 2 18% 43% 31% 2	462
	21st to end	Night	4 3 23% 44% 26% 1	411
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 21% 47% 25% 2	380
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 22% 49% 25% 1	380
	21st to end	Night	1 18% 52% 28% 1	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 11% 57% 31%	370
	11th to 20th	Night	1 9% 50% 36% 4	475
	21st to end	Night	1 1 9% 49% 37% 4	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 13% 44% 37% 4	567
	11th to 20th	Night	1 14% 43% 37% 5%	668
	21st to end	Night	1 1 9% 43% 42% 4	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 9% 43% 42% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 15% 41% 35% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	2 2 13% 40% 37% 7%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 14% 39% 33% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 16% 35% 35% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 17% 33% 30% 9%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 18% 31% 33% 6%	754
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 3 17% 35% 30% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 7% 17% 37% 25% 6%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	16% 6% 19% 31% 22% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 5% 17% 31% 22% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 8% 22% 32% 19%	836

Page generated at 2024-11-01 19:47:42. Version ac07

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