Blackrock Ranger Station
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Blackrock Ranger Station clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-05.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	2 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 6% 68%	104902
	Night	1 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 70%	102876
Transparency	Day	13% 5% 8% 16% 28% 30%	104652
	Night	12% 5% 9% 18% 29% 27%	102716
Seeing	Day	11% 19% 35% 24% 9% 2	15329
	Night	6% 9% 26% 33% 21% 5%	24984

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 2 4 3 4 4 3 4 7% 65%	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 1 4 4 5% 5% 5% 8% 11% 53%	2640
	21st to end	Day	4 6% 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 7% 9% 49%	3254
February	1st to 10th	Day	3 5% 2 3 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 59%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 2 3 5% 3 4 4 6% 7% 59%	1850
	21st to end	Day	2 5% 2 6% 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 59%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	1 6% 2 5% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 52%	3138
	11th to 20th	Day	1 8% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 6% 6% 57%	3268
	21st to end	Day	1 4 2 4 4 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 56%	4165
April	1st to 10th	Day	2 5% 2 4 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 60%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 2 4 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 65%	2249
	21st to end	Day	2 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 6% 7% 69%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 4 5% 73%	4007
	11th to 20th	Day	3 4 1 4 3 3 3 4 6% 6% 63%	4071
	21st to end	Day	3 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 5% 73%	4500
June	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 6% 7% 67%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 5% 79%	2660
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 80%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 81%	4420
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 3 3 4 3 3 4 5% 68%	4420
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 5% 71%	4521
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 3 4 78%	3783
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 86%	3724
	21st to end	Day	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 85%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 74%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 82%	2157
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 81%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 2 1 3 2 3 2 3 4 5% 71%	3490
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 80%	3192
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 6% 72%	3305
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 5% 7% 71%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 3 3 2 3 3 4 7% 71%	1710
	21st to end	Day	1 3 1 4 4 4 3 3 5% 7% 64%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 1 3 3 3 4 5% 5% 9% 63%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	2 9% 2 5% 4 4 6% 5% 6% 9% 48%	2015
	21st to end	Day	3 7% 3 5% 4 4 5% 5% 8% 9% 48%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 2 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 6% 61%	4406
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 2 5% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 10% 53%	4318
	21st to end	Night	3 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 5% 6% 10% 50%	4401
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 8% 6% 56%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 1 3 4 4 4 4 7% 8% 60%	2218
	21st to end	Night	3 3 1 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 7% 60%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	1 4 2 4 4 4 5% 4 9% 9% 53%	3736
	11th to 20th	Night	1 5% 1 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 8% 58%	3694
	21st to end	Night	3 1 4 4 4 5% 5% 7% 8% 59%	3488
April	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 1 4 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 6% 60%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 3 4 4 5% 4 5% 7% 66%	1879
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 7% 73%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 2 2 1 3 3 4 6% 78%	2966
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 80%	2834
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 85%	3080
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 3 3 2 3 4 6% 74%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 4 84%	1520
	21st to end	Night	1 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 85%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 3 90%	2540
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 82%	2540
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 85%	3033
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 83%	3166
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 3 92%	3126
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 91%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 87%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 86%	2023
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 84%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 86%	3490
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 3 82%	3741
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 4 5% 75%	4259
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 3 4 4 6% 6% 69%	2469
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 3 2 3 3 4 6% 8% 68%	2470
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 4 3 4 4 4 6% 7% 64%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 1 4 4 4 5% 3 5% 9% 60%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	1 6% 3 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 8% 9% 46%	3185
	21st to end	Night	2 8% 2 6% 3 5% 6% 5% 7% 8% 48%	4862

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	13% 8% 13% 31% 28% 7%	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 11% 17% 26% 20% 9%	2640
	21st to end	Day	24% 9% 15% 22% 22% 8%	3254
February	1st to 10th	Day	20% 6% 13% 20% 25% 16%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 6% 13% 19% 28% 16%	1860
	21st to end	Day	21% 7% 14% 23% 25% 10%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	17% 14% 13% 22% 22% 12%	3138
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 9% 15% 29% 19% 11%	3268
	21st to end	Day	17% 11% 17% 27% 22% 6%	4165
April	1st to 10th	Day	18% 6% 13% 24% 26% 12%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 4 12% 27% 28% 14%	2252
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 11% 29% 34% 9%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 9% 20% 42% 15%	4007
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 4 11% 21% 40% 15%	4074
	21st to end	Day	11% 3 5% 16% 51% 13%	4500
June	1st to 10th	Day	12% 4 9% 15% 35% 25%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 5% 11% 30% 43%	2660
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 4 7% 24% 56%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 2 4 11% 74%	4351
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 3 8% 18% 51%	4345
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 6% 15% 16% 47%	4378
August	1st to 10th	Day	11% 3 2 7% 32% 45%	3770
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 2 5% 21% 65%	3760
	21st to end	Day	7% 2 2 6% 20% 64%	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	13% 2 4 8% 23% 49%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 2 4 10% 30% 47%	2157
	21st to end	Day	9% 1 3 12% 35% 40%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 4 8% 31% 41%	3490
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 2 3 6% 38% 41%	3192
	21st to end	Day	12% 2 3 10% 39% 32%	3305
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 3 8% 19% 35% 22%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 8% 20% 33% 23%	1710
	21st to end	Day	16% 5% 10% 19% 26% 24%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	15% 8% 10% 23% 26% 18%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 12% 13% 18% 21% 12%	2014
	21st to end	Day	24% 13% 11% 23% 20% 9%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	16% 8% 11% 26% 31% 9%	4406
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 11% 18% 28% 18% 9%	4318
	21st to end	Night	23% 9% 16% 23% 20% 9%	4401
February	1st to 10th	Night	21% 7% 12% 20% 23% 17%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 7% 12% 19% 29% 17%	2219
	21st to end	Night	18% 8% 14% 24% 26% 11%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	13% 12% 17% 21% 22% 14%	3736
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 9% 18% 29% 21% 9%	3694
	21st to end	Night	14% 9% 20% 30% 21% 6%	3488
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 14% 25% 25% 11%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 12% 29% 29% 13%	1879
	21st to end	Night	9% 3 13% 34% 33% 8%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 10% 24% 43% 13%	2966
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 9% 26% 48% 10%	2835
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 7% 23% 52% 11%	3080
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 8% 20% 38% 21%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 6% 14% 34% 38%	1520
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 3 8% 30% 53%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 2 4 13% 76%	2500
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 2 9% 17% 61%	2492
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 4 18% 21% 48%	2939
August	1st to 10th	Night	8% 2 3 7% 38% 42%	3156
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 1 6% 23% 67%	3156
	21st to end	Night	4 1 1 6% 24% 64%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 3 8% 31% 51%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 3 11% 35% 43%	2023
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 4 12% 38% 40%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 3 9% 33% 47%	3490
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 4 10% 35% 43%	3741
	21st to end	Night	11% 3 3 8% 40% 35%	4259
November	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 9% 18% 37% 22%	2469
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 10% 19% 31% 25%	2470
	21st to end	Night	15% 5% 11% 18% 27% 23%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 9% 20% 26% 18%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 12% 14% 19% 20% 11%	3185
	21st to end	Night	23% 11% 12% 22% 22% 9%	4862

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	20% 21% 37% 18% 4 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 26% 29% 16% 12% 2	241
	21st to end	Day	17% 25% 31% 20% 6% 1	440
February	1st to 10th	Day	15% 25% 31% 20% 7% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 27% 28% 20% 5% 1	455
	21st to end	Day	18% 26% 40% 12% 3 1	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	24% 26% 33% 13% 3	460
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 27% 31% 17% 6% 1	460
	21st to end	Day	20% 33% 33% 12% 2	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	17% 29% 29% 17% 6% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 28% 34% 12% 5% 1	452
	21st to end	Day	15% 24% 35% 16% 8% 2	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	15% 27% 33% 18% 6% 2	463
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 23% 35% 22% 7% 3	488
	21st to end	Day	13% 21% 31% 24% 8% 3	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	7% 17% 36% 28% 10% 3	490
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 17% 39% 24% 10% 2	490
	21st to end	Day	4 16% 41% 25% 11% 3	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 40% 32% 14% 4	486
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 33% 39% 15% 6%	484
	21st to end	Day	3 6% 36% 35% 13% 5%	531
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 10% 35% 34% 11% 5%	487
	11th to 20th	Day	3 10% 36% 34% 12% 5%	477
	21st to end	Day	2 7% 41% 35% 10% 5%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	6% 11% 37% 30% 14% 1	490
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 16% 39% 30% 7% 1	490
	21st to end	Day	8% 13% 39% 27% 11% 1	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 18% 34% 28% 10% 1	490
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 18% 39% 27% 8% 1	490
	21st to end	Day	11% 18% 33% 28% 10% 1	458
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 15% 31% 29% 9% 2	282
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 15% 30% 27% 14% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	11% 21% 31% 26% 9% 2	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	13% 16% 37% 28% 6% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 19% 38% 19% 10% 2	221
	21st to end	Day	23% 22% 29% 19% 6% 1	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	8% 10% 33% 26% 17% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 11% 33% 32% 15% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	10% 13% 32% 29% 12% 4	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	7% 13% 32% 27% 16% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 12% 32% 29% 14% 5%	744
	21st to end	Night	11% 14% 33% 30% 9% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	10% 14% 33% 29% 11% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 14% 31% 25% 16% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 16% 36% 27% 11% 2	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	8% 16% 33% 27% 14% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 13% 33% 29% 15% 3	751
	21st to end	Night	6% 12% 33% 27% 18% 4	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	7% 13% 35% 29% 13% 2	637
	11th to 20th	Night	4 13% 28% 32% 21% 2	561
	21st to end	Night	7% 11% 28% 34% 18% 2	600
June	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 24% 39% 29% 2	380
	11th to 20th	Night	2 6% 26% 43% 21% 3	380
	21st to end	Night	1 4 21% 44% 28% 3	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 10% 49% 35% 5%	370
	11th to 20th	Night	2 6% 40% 47% 5%	368
	21st to end	Night	3 1 8% 40% 42% 6%	577
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 15% 41% 34% 6%	756
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 12% 41% 36% 8%	752
	21st to end	Night	2 1 12% 38% 37% 9%	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 13% 34% 39% 9%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	2 5% 18% 39% 28% 8%	760
	21st to end	Night	3 5% 19% 32% 34% 8%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 24% 41% 24% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 23% 34% 26% 8%	760
	21st to end	Night	5% 8% 22% 32% 24% 9%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	6% 8% 22% 36% 20% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 28% 38% 20% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	6% 10% 27% 36% 17% 4	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 10% 32% 32% 14% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 12% 33% 31% 13% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 14% 34% 28% 11% 4	836

Page generated at 2024-11-02 23:11:08. Version ac07

Copyright © 2024 Attilla Danko.