CAS DS-2
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the CAS DS-2 clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-10.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	17% 7% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 5% 7% 38%	101410
	Night	18% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 40%	97749
Transparency	Day	42% 7% 12% 22% 14% 2	104998
	Night	41% 7% 12% 23% 15% 2	102249
Seeing	Day	21% 14% 28% 22% 12% 4	14908
	Night	20% 11% 27% 29% 11% 1	24224

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover NE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	15% 9% 3 5% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 40%	2517
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 13% 5% 10% 6% 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 27%	2657
	21st to end	Day	21% 13% 4 8% 4 5% 3 3 4 5% 30%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	16% 8% 3 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 34%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 9% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 4 5% 7% 37%	1740
	21st to end	Day	19% 10% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 3 4 5% 35%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	25% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 5% 36%	3232
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 43%	3480
	21st to end	Day	22% 8% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 42%	3968
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 9% 3 7% 4 5% 4 3 5% 8% 36%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 5% 41%	2254
	21st to end	Day	17% 5% 2 6% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 38%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	29% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 30%	4128
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 9% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 6% 27%	4398
	21st to end	Day	14% 4 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 9% 44%	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	13% 7% 3 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 7% 9% 37%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 4 6% 9% 37%	2660
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 1 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 9% 41%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 3 7% 6% 7% 7% 5% 7% 10% 36%	4440
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 5% 4 7% 10% 40%	4440
	21st to end	Day	13% 8% 3 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 35%	4636
August	1st to 10th	Day	22% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 31%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 40%	3835
	21st to end	Day	16% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 6% 8% 47%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	17% 5% 2 6% 3 4 4 3 5% 6% 44%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 1 5% 3 4 4 3 5% 7% 50%	2280
	21st to end	Day	23% 7% 3 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 5% 38%	2028
October	1st to 10th	Day	20% 6% 2 4 4 3 4 3 5% 8% 42%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 44%	1900
	21st to end	Day	20% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 41%	2071
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 7% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 8% 51%	1752
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 6% 2 5% 4 3 4 5% 5% 6% 43%	1691
	21st to end	Day	18% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 41%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	20% 8% 2 8% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 33%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 6% 3 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 37%	1906
	21st to end	Day	20% 8% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 29%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 8% 39%	4429
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 8% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 6% 35%	4298
	21st to end	Night	24% 9% 2 9% 4 3 3 3 5% 5% 34%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 9% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 39%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 4 5% 6% 38%	2324
	21st to end	Night	18% 9% 2 6% 5% 4 4 3 6% 6% 37%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	24% 10% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 37%	3606
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 8% 3 5% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 47%	3479
	21st to end	Night	17% 9% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 47%	3663
April	1st to 10th	Night	18% 7% 2 6% 5% 4 4 4 7% 7% 37%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 2 7% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 41%	1875
	21st to end	Night	20% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 4 5% 6% 44%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	28% 7% 3 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 31%	2839
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 9% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 29%	2495
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 3 6% 9% 41%	2738
June	1st to 10th	Night	16% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 6% 7% 43%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 9% 42%	1520
	21st to end	Night	12% 4 2 5% 4 4 4 4 8% 9% 43%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 2 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 40%	2520
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 39%	2520
	21st to end	Night	17% 6% 2 6% 5% 3 4 4 6% 7% 39%	2914
August	1st to 10th	Night	22% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 6% 7% 35%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 42%	2960
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 1 4 3 4 5% 4 5% 8% 48%	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	15% 7% 2 5% 4 3 3 2 5% 7% 48%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 52%	1900
	21st to end	Night	22% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 7% 41%	2147
October	1st to 10th	Night	22% 5% 2 4 4 3 3 3 4 7% 44%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 2 4 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 47%	2280
	21st to end	Night	20% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 45%	2527
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 5% 2 4 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 52%	2531
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 8% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 45%	2485
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 4 5% 4 4 5% 9% 42%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	20% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 6% 35%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 38%	3288
	21st to end	Night	19% 9% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 5% 7% 33%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	41% 7% 15% 25% 9% 2	2518
	11th to 20th	Day	54% 7% 13% 15% 11% 2	2657
	21st to end	Day	54% 7% 11% 19% 7% 1	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	47% 7% 14% 20% 11% 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 5% 11% 23% 12% 2	1749
	21st to end	Day	52% 5% 10% 21% 9% 3	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	48% 6% 11% 26% 8% 1	3235
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 8% 15% 25% 13% 3	3480
	21st to end	Day	45% 5% 9% 19% 19% 2	3968
April	1st to 10th	Day	45% 6% 11% 20% 13% 5%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 6% 11% 22% 14% 4	2254
	21st to end	Day	42% 7% 11% 21% 15% 4	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	53% 7% 10% 19% 10% 2	4140
	11th to 20th	Day	54% 9% 12% 16% 8% 1	4402
	21st to end	Day	34% 8% 14% 26% 15% 2	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	40% 10% 13% 22% 14% 2	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 9% 14% 23% 11% 2	2660
	21st to end	Day	36% 9% 14% 26% 14% 1	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	40% 10% 13% 22% 13% 2	4370
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 9% 15% 25% 13% 1	4365
	21st to end	Day	46% 8% 11% 19% 16% 1	4488
August	1st to 10th	Day	48% 9% 12% 22% 9%	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 8% 12% 29% 12% 1	3874
	21st to end	Day	34% 6% 11% 29% 18% 2	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	40% 7% 10% 22% 18% 3	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 5% 11% 25% 23% 3	2280
	21st to end	Day	46% 6% 8% 17% 20% 2	2028
October	1st to 10th	Day	38% 5% 8% 21% 23% 5%	3160
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 5% 11% 28% 21% 6%	3140
	21st to end	Day	27% 4 15% 25% 26% 3	3397
November	1st to 10th	Day	34% 4 14% 25% 19% 3	1752
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 6% 11% 23% 17% 2	1691
	21st to end	Day	40% 6% 14% 29% 8% 2	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	51% 7% 15% 18% 9% 1	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 6% 15% 26% 7% 1	1906
	21st to end	Day	51% 8% 15% 18% 7%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	41% 7% 14% 25% 10% 2	4429
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 7% 15% 22% 9% 2	4298
	21st to end	Night	51% 5% 11% 23% 9% 1	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	45% 6% 14% 24% 10% 2	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 5% 11% 19% 17% 2	2326
	21st to end	Night	46% 5% 11% 20% 15% 3	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	48% 7% 9% 22% 12% 2	3616
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 7% 14% 28% 15% 2	3480
	21st to end	Night	41% 5% 8% 19% 22% 5%	3663
April	1st to 10th	Night	45% 6% 11% 21% 14% 3	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 7% 12% 20% 19% 2	1875
	21st to end	Night	40% 7% 10% 22% 17% 5%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	52% 8% 9% 20% 9% 2	2846
	11th to 20th	Night	53% 10% 13% 13% 10% 1	2496
	21st to end	Night	38% 10% 12% 23% 13% 4	2739
June	1st to 10th	Night	39% 7% 10% 23% 18% 2	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 9% 14% 25% 14% 2	1520
	21st to end	Night	34% 9% 14% 28% 13% 2	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	39% 10% 15% 16% 16% 4	2480
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 9% 14% 24% 14% 1	2472
	21st to end	Night	41% 9% 13% 17% 19% 1	2821
August	1st to 10th	Night	47% 8% 16% 19% 9%	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 7% 11% 23% 16% 1	2987
	21st to end	Night	33% 8% 10% 29% 18% 1	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	38% 5% 11% 23% 20% 3	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 6% 9% 25% 24% 3	1900
	21st to end	Night	43% 7% 8% 19% 20% 2	2147
October	1st to 10th	Night	41% 5% 11% 21% 21% 1	3800
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 5% 9% 29% 24% 5%	3779
	21st to end	Night	27% 4 13% 31% 23% 3	4151
November	1st to 10th	Night	33% 6% 13% 25% 20% 4	2531
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 5% 10% 24% 16% 4	2485
	21st to end	Night	39% 5% 14% 27% 13% 2	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	48% 6% 13% 20% 13%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	45% 6% 13% 21% 13% 2	3288
	21st to end	Night	47% 9% 14% 22% 8%	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	26% 26% 28% 15% 4 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 23% 32% 11% 2	220
	21st to end	Day	22% 25% 33% 14% 5% 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	25% 25% 32% 14% 4 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 24% 37% 12% 1	347
	21st to end	Day	29% 19% 29% 21% 2	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	24% 21% 31% 21% 3	460
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 25% 31% 15% 5% 1	460
	21st to end	Day	28% 20% 30% 15% 5% 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	26% 19% 31% 17% 6% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 23% 26% 17% 8% 3	452
	21st to end	Day	25% 16% 32% 19% 5% 3	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	29% 14% 27% 19% 9% 3	463
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 13% 30% 20% 9% 3	487
	21st to end	Day	18% 7% 27% 26% 16% 6%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	15% 12% 31% 22% 15% 4	490
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 9% 30% 25% 14% 3	490
	21st to end	Day	15% 11% 30% 25% 15% 4	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	13% 5% 25% 29% 19% 9%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 26% 33% 23% 6%	484
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 31% 30% 16% 5%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 23% 27% 22% 9%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 5% 20% 32% 21% 7%	479
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 24% 29% 17% 11%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	19% 9% 20% 23% 21% 8%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 5% 21% 29% 19% 12%	490
	21st to end	Day	30% 10% 19% 22% 16% 3	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	24% 7% 24% 23% 16% 6%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 14% 26% 23% 13% 3	490
	21st to end	Day	22% 14% 30% 22% 11% 1	529
November	1st to 10th	Day	17% 15% 27% 26% 12% 3	392
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 17% 32% 25% 6%	351
	21st to end	Day	21% 22% 32% 20% 4 1	180
December	1st to 10th	Day	27% 22% 29% 13% 8% 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 24% 29% 16% 4 1	180
	21st to end	Day	29% 19% 28% 18% 5% 2	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	20% 16% 39% 22% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 16% 30% 25% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	17% 18% 36% 27% 2	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	23% 17% 31% 27% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 20% 39% 18% 1	743
	21st to end	Night	26% 18% 34% 20% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	22% 17% 33% 24% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 17% 32% 21% 5% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	21% 16% 34% 23% 5%	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	24% 17% 32% 22% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 15% 37% 24% 8%	751
	21st to end	Night	23% 12% 29% 28% 8%	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	26% 9% 26% 30% 9% 1	576
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 30% 32% 10% 1	374
	21st to end	Night	17% 7% 21% 37% 17% 1	411
June	1st to 10th	Night	19% 5% 20% 36% 21%	380
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 5% 25% 40% 14% 1	380
	21st to end	Night	12% 3 23% 46% 15% 1	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	12% 3 21% 39% 23% 2	370
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 17% 40% 27% 1	368
	21st to end	Night	12% 3 16% 43% 24% 2	516
August	1st to 10th	Night	16% 2 11% 41% 27% 3	567
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 3 14% 36% 29% 3	661
	21st to end	Night	15% 3 17% 35% 28% 2	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	17% 4 21% 33% 23% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 16% 36% 25% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	24% 4 19% 31% 20% 2	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	25% 6% 21% 27% 17% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 9% 25% 32% 13% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	22% 10% 28% 31% 9%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	15% 9% 31% 32% 12% 1	779
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 16% 28% 28% 8% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	18% 14% 29% 31% 7%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	26% 14% 32% 23% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 13% 31% 29% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	24% 12% 32% 29% 3	836

Page generated at 2024-11-07 06:55:48. Version ac07

Copyright © 2024 Attilla Danko.