El Cariso
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the El Cariso clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2026-10-14.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	3 3 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 6% 70%	157967
	Night	3 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 65%	151501
Transparency	Day	16% 4 5% 17% 29% 30%	153064
	Night	18% 6% 6% 15% 25% 30%	147382
Seeing	Day	5% 7% 19% 33% 25% 11%	18451
	Night	5% 3 10% 34% 39% 9%	28455

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	6% 6% 2 4 3 3 2 2 4 5% 63%	5318
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 4 6% 72%	5682
	21st to end	Day	7% 5% 2 7% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 49%	6500
February	1st to 10th	Day	7% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 4 58%	2100
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 55%	2050
	21st to end	Day	8% 6% 2 7% 3 4 3 2 5% 6% 53%	1730
March	1st to 10th	Day	5% 6% 3 6% 5% 4 5% 4 7% 7% 47%	4618
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 6% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 54%	4829
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 4 3 4 4 3 5% 8% 57%	6000
April	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 2 4 4 3 3 4 5% 7% 58%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 63%	2489
	21st to end	Day	3 4 2 3 2 3 3 3 5% 8% 65%	2520
May	1st to 10th	Day	2 4 2 4 2 2 2 2 4 5% 71%	7375
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 7% 69%	7596
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 8% 68%	8370
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 7% 67%	2730
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 5% 76%	2730
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 81%	2895
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 88%	8031
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 6% 79%	7650
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 5% 84%	7916
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 88%	6986
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 3 5% 85%	7001
	21st to end	Day	1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 81%	7750
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 5% 79%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 5% 80%	2317
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 5% 78%	2310
October	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 80%	3710
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 1 3 1 2 2 2 3 6% 74%	3534
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 3 2 3 4 3 6% 6% 69%	3408
November	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 5% 72%	1854
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 1 4 3 4 3 3 5% 5% 66%	1890
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 5% 3 4 3 3 5% 7% 58%	1890
December	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 3 2 2 3 3 6% 7% 66%	3040
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 2 5% 3 4 5% 4 7% 7% 51%	3499
	21st to end	Day	6% 6% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 9% 44%	4609
January	1st to 10th	Night	7% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 2 3 5% 59%	7605
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 4 3 3 3 2 4 7% 67%	7309
	21st to end	Night	8% 8% 3 8% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 47%	7747
February	1st to 10th	Night	7% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 5% 58%	2520
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 7% 2 5% 3 4 3 3 4 6% 56%	2458
	21st to end	Night	8% 7% 2 6% 3 4 3 3 5% 5% 54%	2076
March	1st to 10th	Night	6% 9% 4 10% 4 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 41%	5496
	11th to 20th	Night	4 7% 3 9% 4 4 5% 4 5% 7% 50%	5388
	21st to end	Night	5% 7% 3 7% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 49%	5211
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 8% 53%	2100
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 60%	2079
	21st to end	Night	3 5% 3 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 5% 59%	2100
May	1st to 10th	Night	2 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 64%	5570
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 5% 5% 4 5% 3 5% 6% 63%	5296
	21st to end	Night	1 4 2 6% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 64%	5837
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 65%	1890
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 6% 74%	1890
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5% 81%	1709
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 88%	4896
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 2 4 6% 81%	5340
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5% 83%	6196
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 87%	5866
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 6% 84%	5886
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 4 83%	6499
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 4 5% 76%	2100
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 3 4 78%	2301
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 3 2 2 2 1 2 4 78%	2310
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 80%	3710
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 2 4 2 3 3 2 4 7% 66%	3674
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 5% 73%	4395
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 4 6% 70%	2665
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 6% 64%	2730
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 6% 8% 54%	2730
December	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 1 3 3 3 4 3 4 6% 67%	4370
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 6% 7% 50%	4941
	21st to end	Night	6% 6% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 11% 42%	6611

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	23% 5% 5% 15% 28% 24%	5321
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 3 7% 14% 17% 45%	5682
	21st to end	Day	28% 6% 6% 11% 23% 26%	6500
February	1st to 10th	Day	27% 4 4 13% 25% 27%	2100
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 5% 5% 17% 26% 21%	2060
	21st to end	Day	31% 4 6% 15% 25% 20%	1730
March	1st to 10th	Day	28% 7% 7% 20% 19% 19%	4618
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 7% 9% 23% 21% 13%	4829
	21st to end	Day	23% 7% 10% 32% 17% 11%	6000
April	1st to 10th	Day	25% 5% 8% 24% 24% 14%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 5% 5% 20% 30% 19%	2492
	21st to end	Day	18% 5% 7% 25% 33% 12%	2520
May	1st to 10th	Day	16% 5% 6% 19% 38% 17%	7375
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 6% 18% 39% 18%	7599
	21st to end	Day	13% 7% 6% 25% 38% 12%	8371
June	1st to 10th	Day	18% 4 7% 21% 33% 18%	2730
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 2 4 12% 31% 38%	2730
	21st to end	Day	11% 2 3 8% 26% 50%	2895
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 1 2 6% 18% 67%	7966
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 4 15% 36% 34%	7581
	21st to end	Day	6% 2 3 19% 36% 34%	7741
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 2 2 20% 40% 30%	5530
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 4 20% 30% 38%	5517
	21st to end	Day	7% 2 2 11% 32% 46%	6077
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 5% 8% 32% 42%	2520
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 2 9% 37% 40%	2317
	21st to end	Day	11% 2 2 13% 33% 38%	2310
October	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 2 10% 18% 58%	3710
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 3 3 11% 31% 39%	3534
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 5% 9% 32% 37%	3408
November	1st to 10th	Day	15% 3 5% 15% 26% 36%	1854
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 4 6% 14% 21% 37%	1890
	21st to end	Day	25% 5% 6% 13% 21% 31%	1890
December	1st to 10th	Day	16% 3 5% 14% 25% 37%	3040
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 5% 8% 13% 25% 22%	3498
	21st to end	Day	33% 6% 8% 22% 21% 10%	4609
January	1st to 10th	Night	25% 6% 4 12% 26% 26%	7605
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 4 6% 14% 14% 45%	7309
	21st to end	Night	32% 7% 7% 10% 19% 26%	7747
February	1st to 10th	Night	26% 4 6% 14% 23% 27%	2520
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 5% 6% 14% 22% 23%	2459
	21st to end	Night	31% 6% 3 14% 22% 24%	2076
March	1st to 10th	Night	29% 12% 10% 17% 16% 16%	5496
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 9% 9% 22% 20% 12%	5388
	21st to end	Night	25% 13% 9% 20% 23% 10%	5211
April	1st to 10th	Night	28% 7% 8% 20% 21% 16%	2100
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 7% 6% 20% 24% 20%	2079
	21st to end	Night	22% 9% 8% 22% 25% 13%	2100
May	1st to 10th	Night	18% 11% 7% 17% 34% 13%	5568
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 14% 6% 18% 32% 16%	5297
	21st to end	Night	14% 13% 7% 24% 28% 13%	5838
June	1st to 10th	Night	20% 9% 7% 17% 29% 17%	1890
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 5% 12% 30% 35%	1890
	21st to end	Night	9% 3 5% 7% 30% 46%	1709
July	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 2 6% 20% 66%	4854
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 5% 15% 32% 40%	5286
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 4 20% 34% 34%	6059
August	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 4 15% 41% 33%	4636
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 4 22% 29% 36%	4636
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 2 8% 29% 52%	5092
September	1st to 10th	Night	13% 3 5% 8% 28% 44%	2100
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 3 8% 31% 42%	2301
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 2 11% 34% 37%	2310
October	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 3 10% 16% 59%	3710
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 6% 9% 25% 39%	3674
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 4 8% 29% 43%	4395
November	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 4 14% 24% 38%	2665
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 3 4 12% 20% 38%	2730
	21st to end	Night	27% 4 6% 14% 18% 31%	2730
December	1st to 10th	Night	18% 3 4 12% 21% 40%	4370
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 6% 7% 13% 23% 23%	4941
	21st to end	Night	31% 7% 9% 22% 22% 10%	6611

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	12% 10% 20% 36% 17% 4	330
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 8% 21% 35% 21% 5%	451
	21st to end	Day	8% 12% 27% 30% 19% 3	594
February	1st to 10th	Day	9% 12% 26% 29% 17% 6%	540
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 14% 28% 27% 15% 2	535
	21st to end	Day	8% 16% 28% 30% 15% 3	446
March	1st to 10th	Day	11% 18% 29% 29% 11% 4	540
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 12% 28% 31% 15% 5%	540
	21st to end	Day	7% 14% 34% 29% 12% 4	594
April	1st to 10th	Day	9% 11% 30% 26% 19% 6%	540
	11th to 20th	Day	3 15% 31% 30% 15% 6%	532
	21st to end	Day	4 13% 29% 30% 15% 9%	540
May	1st to 10th	Day	6% 12% 28% 30% 18% 6%	543
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 8% 25% 36% 19% 6%	568
	21st to end	Day	5% 7% 25% 36% 19% 8%	617
June	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 16% 35% 32% 12%	570
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 18% 35% 29% 14%	570
	21st to end	Day	2 1 14% 38% 31% 14%	570
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 7% 35% 37% 19%	566
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 6% 30% 37% 25%	564
	21st to end	Day	1 1 6% 30% 40% 22%	619
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 6% 35% 37% 20%	567
	11th to 20th	Day	2 5% 35% 36% 22%	557
	21st to end	Day	2 8% 31% 39% 19%	627
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 12% 42% 28% 15%	570
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 15% 40% 30% 11%	570
	21st to end	Day	2 4 19% 34% 28% 14%	570
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 17% 38% 27% 11%	570
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 6% 17% 34% 27% 10%	543
	21st to end	Day	4 4 19% 31% 29% 13%	495
November	1st to 10th	Day	4 5% 16% 32% 30% 14%	330
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 8% 17% 36% 25% 10%	330
	21st to end	Day	3 10% 18% 36% 25% 8%	330
December	1st to 10th	Day	9% 4 18% 33% 28% 8%	330
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 17% 35% 29% 11%	330
	21st to end	Day	13% 13% 21% 31% 18% 5%	363
January	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 16% 40% 23% 7%	840
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 12% 44% 28% 6%	840
	21st to end	Night	10% 4 14% 41% 25% 5%	924
February	1st to 10th	Night	8% 3 16% 40% 25% 7%	840
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 15% 41% 23% 6%	824
	21st to end	Night	10% 5% 16% 42% 23% 4	692
March	1st to 10th	Night	7% 6% 15% 47% 22% 4	840
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 6% 10% 39% 29% 8%	840
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 12% 43% 29% 5%	924
April	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 12% 42% 30% 4	840
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 15% 40% 32% 5%	831
	21st to end	Night	4 5% 13% 36% 35% 7%	840
May	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 13% 36% 38% 6%	723
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 14% 33% 42% 7%	621
	21st to end	Night	4 3 12% 39% 39% 3	683
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 10% 37% 41% 7%	630
	11th to 20th	Night	1 7% 38% 48% 4	630
	21st to end	Night	2 1 3 29% 56% 9%	449
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 18% 67% 13%	460
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 17% 67% 14%	612
	21st to end	Night	2 1 2 14% 63% 18%	824
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 1 18% 60% 17%	836
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 13% 63% 21%	832
	21st to end	Night	1 2 15% 62% 19%	924
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 3 21% 56% 17%	840
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 5% 24% 55% 12%	840
	21st to end	Night	2 1 7% 31% 47% 12%	840
October	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 4 38% 45% 7%	840
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 7% 35% 39% 10%	812
	21st to end	Night	4 2 10% 33% 39% 13%	880
November	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 6% 39% 38% 10%	820
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 8% 41% 34% 11%	840
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 12% 40% 32% 6%	840
December	1st to 10th	Night	9% 2 11% 42% 29% 7%	840
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 12% 42% 27% 5%	840
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 15% 39% 23% 6%	924

Page generated at 2026-10-11 02:06:26. Version ac07

Copyright © 2026 Attilla Danko.