This page made possible by the sponsorship of: Beth Colyear.

Grand Marais
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Grand Marais clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2025-09-19.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.
Observation TypeMinimum conditions for hour to be usableOut of hours
Clear of CloudsTransparencySeeingSky Brightness
Planetary:50%(no limit)Average(no limit)Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:70%Average(no limit)5.9Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:70%Below AveragePoor(no limit)Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

PlanetaryData
Pts
Deep Sky
Max 60%
Data
Pts
Both Planetary and Deep Sky
Max 60%
Data
Pts
Either Planetary or Deep SkyData
Pts
CCD ImagingData
Pts
Night
30%
27038
12%
118819
6%
26483
37%
26483
13%
79766

By Month

MonthDays of MonthPlanetaryData
Pts
Deep Sky
Max 60%
Data
Pts
Both Planetary and Deep Sky
Max 60%
Data
Pts
Either Planetary or Deep SkyData
Pts
CCD ImagingData
Pts
January1st to 10thNight
16%
995
15%
6205
4%
956
27%
956
8%
3999
January11th to 20thNight
14%
997
6%
6081
2%
960
23%
960
6%
4402
January21st to endNight
15%
1084
13%
6719
2%
1056
24%
1056
6%
4641
February1st to 10thNight
19%
1000
14%
2633
3%
1000
27%
1000
17%
1897
February11th to 20thNight
23%
979
17%
2534
4%
975
31%
975
20%
1750
February21st to endNight
22%
675
17%
1995
3%
675
33%
675
18%
1419
March1st to 10thNight
26%
791
18%
4820
8%
761
35%
761
10%
2882
March11th to 20thNight
25%
651
11%
4886
8%
620
37%
620
7%
3212
March21st to endNight
30%
655
11%
4654
12%
616
43%
616
7%
3338
April1st to 10thNight
27%
600
14%
2000
8%
600
37%
600
17%
1380
April11th to 20thNight
33%
593
14%
1975
10%
593
39%
593
18%
1345
April21st to endNight
35%
600
14%
1742
7%
600
40%
600
19%
1244
May1st to 10thNight
34%
589
15%
3056
7%
569
40%
569
13%
1796
May11th to 20thNight
40%
577
9%
3152
8%
551
45%
551
13%
1980
May21st to endNight
45%
627
7%
3489
5%
604
49%
604
12%
2201
June1st to 10thNight
47%
600
8%
1600
5%
600
49%
600
27%
1090
June11th to 20thNight
46%
600
8%
1600
5%
600
48%
600
29%
1068
June21st to endNight
48%
600
8%
1600
6%
600
49%
600
28%
1069
July1st to 10thNight
55%
571
7%
3108
8%
545
59%
545
19%
1688
July11th to 20thNight
51%
566
8%
3084
6%
543
56%
543
19%
1588
July21st to endNight
53%
641
9%
3255
8%
579
56%
579
18%
1921
August1st to 10thNight
50%
592
18%
2398
10%
575
55%
575
23%
1392
August11th to 20thNight
54%
583
14%
2568
14%
573
60%
573
22%
1451
August21st to endNight
50%
650
12%
3339
16%
638
56%
638
19%
1954
September1st to 10thNight
50%
600
19%
2000
18%
600
57%
600
29%
1181
September11th to 20thNight
50%
594
16%
1980
14%
594
56%
594
27%
1205
September21st to endNight
41%
755
14%
2128
9%
755
46%
755
25%
1416
October1st to 10thNight
33%
760
12%
2638
9%
740
38%
740
16%
1851
October11th to 20thNight
26%
760
11%
3026
7%
740
34%
740
12%
2209
October21st to endNight
24%
836
7%
4016
4%
814
32%
814
9%
2970
November1st to 10thNight
25%
834
13%
2590
6%
834
34%
834
14%
1855
November11th to 20thNight
20%
1000
11%
2800
3%
1000
28%
1000
13%
2107
November21st to endNight
18%
1000
11%
2800
4%
1000
24%
1000
13%
2087
December1st to 10thNight
16%
999
11%
4540
3%
980
26%
980
8%
3316
December11th to 20thNight
15%
996
8%
5039
3%
978
23%
978
6%
3569
December21st to endNight
11%
1088
9%
6769
2%
1059
20%
1059
4%
5293

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

Occurrence of each ForecastData
Points
Cloud CoverDay
13%9%37%44446%7%38%
126805
Night
12%10%48%5%4445%6%37%
122538
TransparencyDay
44%8%15%22%11%1
130235
Night
46%7%14%21%11%1
127194
SeeingDay
18%16%34%22%8%2
17411
Night
17%13%31%27%10%1
27222

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover NE (2006-)
Color Meanings:
Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
MonthDays in MonthOccurrence of each ForecastData
Points
January1st to 10thDay
7%12%5%13%6%44345%38%
3617
11th to 20thDay
5%11%6%17%8%5%335%7%28%
3589
21st to endDay
6%14%8%13%7%6%5%46%6%25%
3982
February1st to 10thDay
7%11%5%10%6%7%5%37%7%33%
1765
11th to 20thDay
8%10%49%5%5%5%46%7%37%
1754
21st to endDay
8%14%5%11%5%4446%6%33%
1635
March1st to 10thDay
10%10%37%445%35%6%43%
4478
11th to 20thDay
8%11%410%5%5%5%45%7%35%
4883
21st to endDay
19%14%48%444345%33%
5826
April1st to 10thDay
13%11%37%5%5%6%47%7%33%
2400
11th to 20thDay
17%12%49%5%3435%6%31%
2374
21st to endDay
20%10%37%45%435%5%34%
2654
May1st to 10thDay
15%7%25%333345%50%
6348
11th to 20thDay
15%7%26%44435%8%42%
6319
21st to endDay
13%7%26%45%5%36%8%41%
6949
June1st to 10thDay
14%6%26%44446%9%41%
2800
11th to 20thDay
14%5%26%445%46%9%40%
2800
21st to endDay
17%6%26%445%47%7%38%
2800
July1st to 10thDay
10%425%345%47%10%45%
6359
11th to 20thDay
12%5%25%4445%7%9%45%
6360
21st to endDay
10%425%44447%10%46%
6926
August1st to 10thDay
8%5%27%5%5%6%5%8%10%39%
4563
11th to 20thDay
12%42434446%10%47%
4298
21st to endDay
13%5%25%345%5%7%9%42%
4345
September1st to 10thDay
10%6%26%45%5%36%8%45%
2400
11th to 20thDay
14%6%26%44446%9%41%
2362
21st to endDay
15%7%36%44445%8%39%
2044
October1st to 10thDay
16%7%47%5%5%446%8%34%
1900
11th to 20thDay
17%12%37%45%445%6%33%
1891
21st to endDay
22%13%46%5%34345%32%
1881
November1st to 10thDay
15%13%37%5%5%5%45%6%33%
1707
11th to 20thDay
16%16%5%8%5%6%345%5%27%
1600
21st to endDay
15%12%5%8%45%436%7%31%
1600
December1st to 10thDay
13%15%49%5%5%5%46%6%28%
2610
11th to 20thDay
10%20%5%9%5%43345%32%
3004
21st to endDay
19%22%7%12%33334321%
3982
January1st to 10thNight
8%12%5%11%6%4435%5%37%
6348
11th to 20thNight
6%10%6%16%9%5%5%5%7%7%25%
6316
21st to endNight
7%14%7%12%6%5%435%7%30%
6996
February1st to 10thNight
8%12%49%5%5%447%6%35%
2633
11th to 20thNight
8%10%310%5%6%45%6%8%37%
2533
21st to endNight
8%14%5%9%5%4436%8%33%
1995
March1st to 10thNight
8%8%37%5%5%5%46%7%43%
5362
11th to 20thNight
9%13%49%5%6%5%47%8%30%
5117
21st to endNight
20%12%38%5%44345%32%
5104
April1st to 10thNight
15%11%38%5%4446%5%36%
2000
11th to 20thNight
17%11%28%44435%6%36%
1975
21st to endNight
19%10%36%45%435%5%35%
1742
May1st to 10thNight
17%5%25%44435%5%47%
3613
11th to 20thNight
15%6%26%44446%7%44%
3596
21st to endNight
14%7%25%445%36%7%42%
3949
June1st to 10thNight
13%6%36%445%46%8%41%
1600
11th to 20thNight
15%7%25%4445%7%7%41%
1600
21st to endNight
15%5%25%445%47%7%44%
1600
July1st to 10thNight
8%5%25%44446%9%50%
3620
11th to 20thNight
10%42443435%7%55%
3620
21st to endNight
10%6%26%45%446%8%47%
3948
August1st to 10thNight
10%425%45%5%46%8%48%
2597
11th to 20thNight
11%425%43446%7%49%
2758
21st to endNight
18%5%25%333347%46%
3553
September1st to 10thNight
12%425%33446%6%51%
2000
11th to 20thNight
12%5%26%44445%6%48%
1980
21st to endNight
17%6%25%33435%8%42%
2128
October1st to 10thNight
15%8%37%445%35%6%41%
2280
11th to 20thNight
16%8%35%5%4435%6%39%
2289
21st to endNight
20%10%37%5%4435%6%33%
2717
November1st to 10thNight
16%9%37%5%4437%7%33%
2590
11th to 20thNight
17%14%47%5%4435%6%32%
2800
21st to endNight
14%13%47%5%4336%6%33%
2800
December1st to 10thNight
12%14%5%10%6%5%5%47%7%25%
4580
11th to 20thNight
10%14%5%12%6%5%435%6%29%
5203
21st to endNight
21%20%7%12%33323324%
6996

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings:
Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
MonthDays in MonthOccurrence of each ForecastData
Points
January1st to 10thDay
49%7%8%20%12%4
3618
11th to 20thDay
55%6%9%23%7%
3620
21st to endDay
56%11%10%14%9%
3982
February1st to 10thDay
49%7%12%19%11%1
1765
11th to 20thDay
45%6%14%21%12%1
1763
21st to endDay
50%7%14%13%15%2
1635
March1st to 10thDay
42%6%16%17%13%6%
4480
11th to 20thDay
48%8%14%15%14%1
4883
21st to endDay
55%6%8%16%14%2
5826
April1st to 10thDay
50%7%12%17%12%2
2400
11th to 20thDay
55%6%12%17%9%1
2374
21st to endDay
53%6%10%18%13%1
2654
May1st to 10thDay
37%6%16%25%15%2
6357
11th to 20thDay
41%8%13%21%15%2
6323
21st to endDay
39%10%12%21%16%1
6949
June1st to 10thDay
38%9%17%22%12%1
2800
11th to 20thDay
40%8%15%24%12%
2800
21st to endDay
43%9%16%22%9%1
2800
July1st to 10thDay
35%8%19%27%11%
6291
11th to 20thDay
33%7%23%31%6%
6285
21st to endDay
31%9%21%31%8%
6728
August1st to 10thDay
37%10%19%23%10%1
4548
11th to 20thDay
34%8%23%28%7%
4340
21st to endDay
35%9%20%26%9%
4344
September1st to 10thDay
38%9%17%28%8%
2400
11th to 20thDay
40%8%24%22%5%1
2362
21st to endDay
45%9%16%23%7%
2044
October1st to 10thDay
39%8%14%28%10%1
3160
11th to 20thDay
48%6%12%25%8%
3119
21st to endDay
54%6%15%17%7%
3081
November1st to 10thDay
52%8%16%16%7%1
1707
11th to 20thDay
60%7%12%15%6%
1600
21st to endDay
53%9%17%14%6%2
1600
December1st to 10thDay
56%9%16%15%3
2610
11th to 20thDay
55%5%9%11%15%4
3005
21st to endDay
68%5%7%14%6%1
3982
January1st to 10thNight
48%8%12%17%12%3
6348
11th to 20thNight
55%8%10%17%9%
6360
21st to endNight
53%8%12%16%10%
6996
February1st to 10thNight
47%8%13%19%12%1
2633
11th to 20thNight
44%7%15%21%12%2
2534
21st to endNight
49%7%11%19%12%2
1995
March1st to 10thNight
41%6%14%12%18%9%
5373
11th to 20thNight
50%7%15%17%10%1
5118
21st to endNight
54%6%8%16%15%1
5104
April1st to 10thNight
49%7%10%17%16%1
2000
11th to 20thNight
50%5%11%21%11%2
1975
21st to endNight
50%6%8%21%14%1
1742
May1st to 10thNight
37%5%13%26%16%2
3620
11th to 20thNight
40%7%11%23%15%4
3597
21st to endNight
39%9%11%25%15%1
3950
June1st to 10thNight
40%9%13%22%15%2
1600
11th to 20thNight
40%7%13%26%14%1
1600
21st to endNight
37%9%17%25%11%2
1600
July1st to 10thNight
31%7%20%27%15%1
3580
11th to 20thNight
29%7%23%34%7%1
3572
21st to endNight
35%6%16%32%10%1
3832
August1st to 10thNight
33%7%17%29%12%1
2588
11th to 20thNight
33%7%19%32%8%
2782
21st to endNight
37%7%18%29%9%
3553
September1st to 10thNight
32%8%17%31%10%1
2000
11th to 20thNight
34%9%22%29%5%
1980
21st to endNight
40%8%18%26%7%1
2128
October1st to 10thNight
32%7%11%32%16%1
3800
11th to 20thNight
44%6%13%25%13%1
3800
21st to endNight
52%7%16%18%6%
4467
November1st to 10thNight
49%9%16%18%8%
2590
11th to 20thNight
54%8%15%16%7%
2800
21st to endNight
52%8%16%16%7%1
2800
December1st to 10thNight
56%8%16%16%4
4580
11th to 20thNight
55%7%13%14%11%
5201
21st to endNight
67%46%14%9%
6996

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings:
Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
MonthDays in MonthOccurrence of each ForecastData
Points
January1st to 10thDay
16%18%42%18%6%
300
11th to 20thDay
16%17%40%20%6%1
300
21st to endDay
18%21%37%20%4
330
February1st to 10thDay
14%21%46%13%5%1
300
11th to 20thDay
14%29%40%11%5%1
300
21st to endDay
20%24%42%12%2
249
March1st to 10thDay
15%23%39%20%3
300
11th to 20thDay
16%22%40%16%5%
300
21st to endDay
23%19%34%17%6%1
485
April1st to 10thDay
21%17%35%20%6%1
500
11th to 20thDay
25%17%25%23%9%1
492
21st to endDay
27%16%29%21%7%1
615
May1st to 10thDay
19%19%36%18%6%2
703
11th to 20thDay
19%14%35%23%7%2
725
21st to endDay
19%13%33%25%8%2
789
June1st to 10thDay
14%16%36%24%7%2
730
11th to 20thDay
18%14%37%21%8%2
730
21st to endDay
19%11%34%25%9%3
730
July1st to 10thDay
9%9%36%31%12%3
721
11th to 20thDay
12%11%35%26%12%4
718
21st to endDay
10%8%37%29%12%4
794
August1st to 10thDay
12%9%33%33%12%2
726
11th to 20thDay
13%8%29%33%14%3
715
21st to endDay
17%11%30%27%13%2
603
September1st to 10thDay
15%13%28%29%14%2
530
11th to 20thDay
15%10%32%28%11%3
522
21st to endDay
20%17%30%22%11%1
444
October1st to 10thDay
24%18%29%18%10%1
300
11th to 20thDay
20%23%36%18%2
300
21st to endDay
31%22%33%13%1
330
November1st to 10thDay
21%22%35%17%6%
300
11th to 20thDay
28%27%31%10%31
300
21st to endDay
24%25%31%16%4
300
December1st to 10thDay
22%18%39%17%4
300
11th to 20thDay
22%25%38%13%2
300
21st to endDay
23%18%40%14%41
330
January1st to 10thNight
16%19%43%18%4
1000
11th to 20thNight
15%20%41%18%5%1
1000
21st to endNight
18%17%37%23%5%
1100
February1st to 10thNight
16%18%38%21%5%1
1000
11th to 20thNight
13%20%37%22%8%1
979
21st to endNight
15%16%38%25%5%
675
March1st to 10thNight
14%17%35%27%7%1
800
11th to 20thNight
18%14%35%26%7%1
660
21st to endNight
19%14%29%25%10%3
660
April1st to 10thNight
19%12%34%28%6%1
600
11th to 20thNight
20%14%27%29%10%1
593
21st to endNight
23%9%26%30%11%2
600
May1st to 10thNight
22%10%27%30%9%2
600
11th to 20thNight
17%9%27%30%14%3
591
21st to endNight
18%9%20%37%15%1
650
June1st to 10thNight
16%7%25%36%15%2
600
11th to 20thNight
17%6%25%38%13%1
600
21st to endNight
17%5%23%37%16%2
600
July1st to 10thNight
9%325%43%18%2
585
11th to 20thNight
8%6%26%39%19%2
582
21st to endNight
9%426%37%21%3
657
August1st to 10thNight
11%328%37%19%2
597
11th to 20thNight
12%5%22%31%26%3
594
21st to endNight
15%7%22%33%20%3
660
September1st to 10thNight
14%6%25%34%20%3
600
11th to 20thNight
14%5%24%36%18%3
594
21st to endNight
20%10%25%31%14%1
755
October1st to 10thNight
20%12%30%25%12%1
760
11th to 20thNight
20%16%33%25%6%1
760
21st to endNight
24%15%31%23%7%
836
November1st to 10thNight
21%15%31%25%6%1
834
11th to 20thNight
22%18%31%20%8%1
1000
21st to endNight
22%21%34%19%5%
1000
December1st to 10thNight
17%19%39%19%5%
1000
11th to 20thNight
20%20%35%18%6%1
1000
21st to endNight
26%17%34%18%5%
1100
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