Lake Afton Public Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Lake Afton Public Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-12-06.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	9% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 52%	101515
	Night	9% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 7% 55%	98307
Transparency	Day	30% 5% 11% 26% 22% 5%	105258
	Night	28% 5% 11% 26% 24% 6%	102691
Seeing	Day	11% 9% 28% 31% 17% 4	15647
	Night	11% 9% 33% 35% 11% 1	25564

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	10% 7% 2 8% 5% 5% 4 3 5% 6% 46%	2847
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 7% 3 6% 6% 5% 5% 3 6% 7% 44%	2850
	21st to end	Day	11% 11% 4 8% 3 3 2 2 4 6% 46%	3135
February	1st to 10th	Day	10% 9% 4 6% 4 4 3 3 4 7% 46%	1737
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 7% 2 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 52%	1849
	21st to end	Day	7% 6% 2 6% 3 4 4 3 6% 8% 51%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	9% 7% 2 4 2 3 3 2 3 7% 58%	3333
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 5% 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 58%	3480
	21st to end	Day	11% 7% 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 6% 7% 43%	3814
April	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 52%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 47%	2335
	21st to end	Day	16% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 46%	2470
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 10% 3 6% 4 3 3 3 5% 5% 40%	4082
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 50%	4082
	21st to end	Day	11% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 45%	4477
June	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 1 5% 4 3 5% 4 6% 10% 53%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 1 4 4 4 4 4 7% 8% 54%	2470
	21st to end	Day	6% 3 1 3 3 3 5% 4 6% 9% 58%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 51%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 2 4 3 3 4 4 7% 9% 56%	4120
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 4 3 4 5% 4 8% 11% 52%	4465
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 6% 9% 51%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 2 5% 3 4 4 3 6% 9% 53%	4041
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 4 3 3 4 3 6% 9% 62%	4358
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 7% 56%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 4 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 54%	2090
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 1 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 7% 57%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 5% 5% 58%	2043
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 4 1 3 2 3 3 2 3 4 65%	1900
	21st to end	Day	11% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 2 3 4 58%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	8% 4 2 3 2 2 3 3 4 7% 62%	1792
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 60%	1800
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 2 3 3 3 2 3 4 5% 61%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 3 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 56%	1755
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 7% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 51%	2161
	21st to end	Day	11% 10% 4 9% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 38%	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 3 8% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 49%	4108
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 5% 2 6% 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 56%	4120
	21st to end	Night	15% 10% 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 4 50%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	10% 8% 3 6% 4 3 3 3 6% 6% 48%	2460
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 8% 3 5% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 51%	2218
	21st to end	Night	8% 6% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 56%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	7% 6% 2 5% 3 2 3 3 6% 6% 58%	3524
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 55%	3480
	21st to end	Night	11% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 49%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	11% 4 1 3 3 4 3 3 5% 7% 54%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 4 6% 8% 48%	1788
	21st to end	Night	14% 6% 2 5% 3 4 4 3 5% 6% 49%	1710
May	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 2 4 3 4 3 3 4 6% 47%	2823
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 1 6% 2 3 4 3 6% 10% 50%	2823
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 2 4 3 3 4 4 6% 9% 56%	3090
June	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 2 5% 3 3 5% 4 7% 11% 53%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 3 1 3 3 4 4 4 8% 11% 54%	1710
	21st to end	Night	6% 2 2 4 3 3 4 3 6% 8% 61%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 4 2 5% 3 4 4 4 7% 9% 52%	2850
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 2 4 3 3 4 4 7% 11% 57%	2850
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 1 5% 3 4 4 3 8% 11% 51%	3098
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 2 4 4 3 5% 4 6% 9% 57%	2836
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 2 5% 4 5% 5% 4 7% 8% 52%	2798
	21st to end	Night	3 3 1 4 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 65%	3290
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 2 4 4 3 3 3 4 6% 60%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 4 2 5% 3 3 3 4 5% 8% 56%	2090
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 61%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 2 4 3 4 4 2 4 7% 58%	2118
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 1 4 2 2 2 2 4 5% 67%	2280
	21st to end	Night	10% 5% 1 3 3 2 3 2 3 5% 62%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 2 4 3 2 2 2 4 5% 64%	2502
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 6% 62%	2600
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 1 4 2 3 3 3 3 6% 58%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 57%	2542
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 55%	3036
	21st to end	Night	13% 8% 3 7% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 44%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	39% 4 11% 25% 19% 2	2848
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 5% 16% 24% 13% 5%	2850
	21st to end	Day	42% 3 10% 24% 18% 2	3135
February	1st to 10th	Day	39% 5% 11% 24% 16% 5%	1737
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 5% 13% 27% 17% 5%	1859
	21st to end	Day	31% 4 10% 25% 22% 8%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	28% 3 8% 20% 28% 12%	3333
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 5% 13% 25% 28% 4	3480
	21st to end	Day	37% 8% 12% 28% 12% 3	3814
April	1st to 10th	Day	30% 5% 12% 25% 20% 7%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 5% 10% 24% 17% 5%	2335
	21st to end	Day	39% 5% 11% 28% 15% 2	2470
May	1st to 10th	Day	46% 6% 8% 18% 18% 4	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 7% 11% 26% 22% 1	4086
	21st to end	Day	37% 7% 11% 24% 15% 6%	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	25% 9% 17% 30% 15% 4	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 6% 13% 28% 22% 5%	2470
	21st to end	Day	21% 7% 15% 27% 24% 6%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	31% 5% 13% 24% 21% 6%	4056
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 6% 12% 32% 22% 4	4051
	21st to end	Day	22% 8% 15% 31% 22% 1	4325
August	1st to 10th	Day	29% 6% 13% 26% 23% 3	4090
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 6% 18% 26% 19% 3	4080
	21st to end	Day	19% 6% 14% 36% 19% 5%	4357
September	1st to 10th	Day	29% 5% 9% 26% 22% 9%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 5% 9% 27% 24% 5%	2090
	21st to end	Day	26% 5% 10% 26% 26% 8%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	20% 3 6% 18% 44% 9%	3394
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 7% 27% 36% 10%	3140
	21st to end	Day	25% 3 7% 26% 29% 9%	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	23% 4 9% 29% 27% 8%	1792
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 4 8% 27% 28% 7%	1800
	21st to end	Day	27% 3 10% 29% 26% 5%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	29% 5% 11% 34% 19% 3	1755
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 5% 7% 28% 21% 4	2159
	21st to end	Day	45% 4 9% 26% 14% 2	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	36% 4 9% 31% 17% 3	4108
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 5% 16% 25% 22% 3	4120
	21st to end	Night	39% 3 10% 24% 21% 2	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	37% 5% 12% 24% 18% 5%	2460
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 5% 11% 25% 19% 5%	2218
	21st to end	Night	31% 3 9% 22% 24% 11%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	27% 4 8% 23% 27% 12%	3524
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 5% 9% 24% 29% 4	3480
	21st to end	Night	35% 7% 11% 32% 12% 3	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	29% 5% 11% 23% 24% 8%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 6% 14% 24% 19% 5%	1788
	21st to end	Night	36% 5% 11% 23% 21% 4	1710
May	1st to 10th	Night	38% 7% 11% 18% 18% 7%	2850
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 8% 17% 30% 15% 1	2824
	21st to end	Night	26% 7% 17% 23% 24% 3	3099
June	1st to 10th	Night	25% 7% 20% 30% 16% 3	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 6% 16% 29% 21% 5%	1710
	21st to end	Night	21% 6% 12% 29% 23% 8%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	26% 7% 15% 22% 25% 5%	2805
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 5% 12% 33% 27% 4	2796
	21st to end	Night	25% 6% 16% 32% 20% 1	2999
August	1st to 10th	Night	24% 6% 12% 27% 23% 8%	2826
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 7% 15% 24% 21% 4	2825
	21st to end	Night	18% 6% 16% 37% 19% 5%	3290
September	1st to 10th	Night	27% 4 9% 25% 24% 12%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 5% 10% 25% 27% 6%	2090
	21st to end	Night	23% 5% 9% 23% 30% 9%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	20% 3 6% 14% 46% 13%	3534
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 2 7% 26% 35% 15%	3779
	21st to end	Night	22% 3 7% 24% 38% 7%	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	23% 3 11% 26% 28% 9%	2502
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 4 8% 28% 29% 7%	2600
	21st to end	Night	28% 4 8% 26% 25% 8%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	26% 5% 13% 31% 21% 4	2542
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 5% 8% 30% 22% 5%	3037
	21st to end	Night	40% 5% 11% 26% 13% 4	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	13% 13% 38% 24% 10% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 15% 40% 24% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	10% 12% 47% 26% 5%	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	17% 18% 41% 20% 3 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 16% 47% 17% 7%	270
	21st to end	Day	12% 19% 46% 18% 4	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	11% 19% 43% 23% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 16% 39% 23% 5%	270
	21st to end	Day	19% 19% 39% 20% 3 1	297
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 20% 36% 23% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 17% 41% 22% 4	533
	21st to end	Day	20% 16% 36% 19% 8% 2	650
May	1st to 10th	Day	17% 10% 38% 26% 8% 1	653
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 10% 28% 28% 15% 3	675
	21st to end	Day	15% 10% 30% 28% 15% 3	734
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 24% 36% 24% 7%	680
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 29% 39% 19% 3	680
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 26% 44% 16% 3	680
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 14% 35% 33% 9%	671
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 14% 41% 31% 7%	668
	21st to end	Day	6% 2 12% 37% 33% 10%	739
August	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 14% 42% 28% 5%	676
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 2 16% 40% 31% 5%	665
	21st to end	Day	4 3 16% 35% 34% 8%	652
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 10% 37% 32% 9%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 19% 42% 27% 5%	300
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 26% 30% 19% 6%	300
October	1st to 10th	Day	12% 8% 25% 28% 20% 6%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 10% 44% 25% 12% 1	300
	21st to end	Day	18% 15% 30% 23% 11% 3	330
November	1st to 10th	Day	12% 10% 32% 32% 10% 3	300
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 17% 37% 19% 13% 1	300
	21st to end	Day	16% 14% 33% 28% 8% 1	300
December	1st to 10th	Day	8% 12% 40% 28% 9% 3	285
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 14% 34% 30% 10% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	16% 18% 40% 22% 3	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	9% 12% 37% 34% 7%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 13% 37% 29% 7% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	12% 11% 37% 33% 6%	1045
February	1st to 10th	Night	14% 14% 39% 29% 3	940
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 13% 38% 29% 4	744
	21st to end	Night	12% 15% 38% 30% 4	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	11% 13% 41% 32% 4	641
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 12% 39% 28% 5%	570
	21st to end	Night	16% 17% 38% 24% 5%	627
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 13% 43% 22% 7%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 15% 40% 24% 4	563
	21st to end	Night	17% 15% 35% 27% 6% 1	570
May	1st to 10th	Night	16% 10% 37% 30% 6%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 7% 30% 36% 13% 1	561
	21st to end	Night	11% 7% 32% 34% 14% 2	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	5% 5% 27% 39% 22% 2	570
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 36% 41% 14%	570
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 32% 45% 13% 1	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 17% 48% 25% 2	555
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 17% 55% 21% 3	552
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 15% 46% 29% 1	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 18% 50% 26% 1	567
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 13% 53% 23% 1	564
	21st to end	Night	4 1 14% 48% 30% 2	627
September	1st to 10th	Night	9% 2 24% 41% 22% 2	570
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 2 27% 41% 19% 2	570
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 28% 40% 18% 1	570
October	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 30% 33% 19% 2	598
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 7% 40% 34% 8%	760
	21st to end	Night	13% 12% 34% 30% 11%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 38% 34% 11%	942
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 13% 39% 29% 9%	1000
	21st to end	Night	14% 11% 30% 35% 9%	1000
December	1st to 10th	Night	11% 10% 37% 34% 8% 1	978
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 11% 38% 32% 4	950
	21st to end	Night	13% 13% 36% 33% 5%	1045

Page generated at 2024-12-03 05:45:13. Version ac07

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