Lake Shores
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Lake Shores clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2025-11-18.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	12% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 43%	126843
	Night	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 44%	123537
Transparency	Day	38% 6% 12% 20% 19% 6%	130541
	Night	37% 6% 10% 18% 21% 7%	127908
Seeing	Day	16% 7% 21% 24% 21% 11%	16574
	Night	16% 6% 21% 32% 22% 4	26609

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 54%	4056
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 6% 2 5% 2 2 3 2 3 4 59%	4060
	21st to end	Day	18% 7% 2 7% 3 3 3 3 3 5% 45%	4466
February	1st to 10th	Day	15% 5% 3 6% 4 3 4 4 7% 7% 42%	1890
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 5% 43%	1948
	21st to end	Day	19% 6% 3 5% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 43%	1650
March	1st to 10th	Day	20% 8% 3 7% 4 4 3 2 4 5% 40%	4928
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 54%	4980
	21st to end	Day	16% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 4 4 45%	5465
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 5% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 7% 48%	2200
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 2 4 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 50%	2317
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 3 6% 9% 49%	2600
May	1st to 10th	Day	10% 7% 2 7% 4 5% 5% 4 7% 10% 38%	5862
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 7% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 8% 31%	5861
	21st to end	Day	11% 6% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 7% 7% 44%	6433
June	1st to 10th	Day	9% 6% 2 7% 5% 5% 6% 4 8% 12% 36%	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 5% 7% 5% 6% 5% 8% 10% 43%	2600
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 8% 11% 41%	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 3 8% 6% 5% 7% 6% 8% 11% 34%	5900
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 2 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 9% 14% 38%	5900
	21st to end	Day	7% 7% 3 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 10% 11% 29%	6424
August	1st to 10th	Day	19% 7% 2 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 9% 26%	4234
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 2 6% 4 6% 6% 5% 8% 12% 34%	4174
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 10% 48%	4262
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 2 7% 4 4 5% 5% 8% 10% 42%	2200
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 8% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 3 6% 8% 39%	2200
	21st to end	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 42%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 2 5% 3 4 3 2 4 7% 52%	2149
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 4 2 2 3 2 4 5% 59%	2000
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 3 5% 58%	2200
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 2 4 5% 53%	2052
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 53%	1863
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 50%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	14% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 5% 51%	2930
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 7% 43%	3373
	21st to end	Day	21% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 45%	4466
January	1st to 10th	Night	13% 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 57%	5889
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 4 4 3 4 3 5% 5% 52%	5900
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 47%	6490
February	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 3 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 45%	2505
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 44%	2338
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 4 5% 7% 46%	1980
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 42%	4923
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 4 1 4 3 3 4 3 6% 7% 55%	4980
	21st to end	Night	15% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 6% 48%	5467
April	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 4 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 49%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 6% 53%	2045
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 52%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	11% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 7% 10% 38%	4033
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 7% 2 7% 4 5% 6% 4 6% 9% 32%	4032
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 7% 10% 43%	4421
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 8% 10% 35%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8% 13% 39%	1800
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 2 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 10% 9% 38%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 7% 3 9% 6% 7% 7% 5% 8% 11% 27%	4058
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 5% 2 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 11% 16% 29%	4057
	21st to end	Night	10% 9% 4 9% 7% 6% 6% 5% 9% 11% 24%	4427
August	1st to 10th	Night	18% 8% 3 8% 5% 5% 6% 6% 9% 11% 23%	2915
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 7% 2 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 10% 33%	2875
	21st to end	Night	6% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 46%	3597
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 4 7% 9% 42%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 7% 3 7% 5% 6% 4 4 6% 8% 38%	2200
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 45%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 6% 53%	2250
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 56%	2400
	21st to end	Night	12% 4 1 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 58%	2640
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 4 3 2 2 2 4 6% 55%	2461
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 54%	2692
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 6% 6% 49%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	14% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 53%	4250
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 7% 3 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 46%	4822
	21st to end	Night	21% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 4 4 6% 43%	6490

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	33% 3 4 24% 30% 6%	4057
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 2 4 17% 37% 8%	4060
	21st to end	Day	44% 3 3 18% 22% 11%	4466
February	1st to 10th	Day	41% 4 9% 22% 19% 6%	1890
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 4 5% 19% 23% 5%	1958
	21st to end	Day	42% 5% 8% 15% 22% 8%	1650
March	1st to 10th	Day	47% 4 5% 15% 19% 10%	4928
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 5% 6% 14% 25% 19%	4980
	21st to end	Day	43% 3 6% 20% 23% 6%	5465
April	1st to 10th	Day	34% 5% 11% 19% 25% 6%	2200
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 4 9% 21% 21% 10%	2317
	21st to end	Day	32% 6% 11% 26% 20% 4	2600
May	1st to 10th	Day	39% 8% 17% 22% 12% 2	5897
	11th to 20th	Day	48% 7% 15% 18% 11% 1	5865
	21st to end	Day	37% 7% 13% 21% 20% 2	6447
June	1st to 10th	Day	39% 8% 16% 25% 10% 2	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 9% 19% 25% 13% 1	2600
	21st to end	Day	34% 11% 17% 21% 14% 3	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	40% 12% 17% 22% 8% 1	5835
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 13% 31% 19% 3 1	5831
	21st to end	Day	43% 13% 19% 20% 5% 1	6240
August	1st to 10th	Day	51% 9% 16% 18% 5%	4221
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 10% 18% 18% 15% 1	4213
	21st to end	Day	29% 8% 15% 26% 17% 4	4262
September	1st to 10th	Day	35% 8% 14% 21% 18% 4	2200
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 7% 11% 18% 20% 2	2200
	21st to end	Day	42% 5% 11% 20% 16% 7%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Day	31% 3 6% 18% 31% 11%	3500
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 3 4 16% 29% 28%	3240
	21st to end	Day	26% 3 4 22% 31% 14%	3538
November	1st to 10th	Day	34% 4 7% 18% 26% 11%	2052
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 4 7% 21% 27% 10%	1863
	21st to end	Day	35% 4 9% 21% 23% 8%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	36% 4 5% 18% 29% 9%	2930
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 6% 8% 21% 18% 8%	3370
	21st to end	Day	41% 4 7% 23% 24% 2	4466
January	1st to 10th	Night	31% 3 4 20% 34% 7%	5889
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 4 4 17% 34% 7%	5900
	21st to end	Night	41% 3 4 16% 29% 9%	6490
February	1st to 10th	Night	40% 4 7% 20% 21% 7%	2505
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 3 6% 18% 22% 8%	2339
	21st to end	Night	38% 4 8% 17% 22% 11%	1980
March	1st to 10th	Night	43% 4 7% 13% 26% 7%	4923
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 4 7% 12% 30% 19%	4980
	21st to end	Night	38% 4 5% 20% 21% 12%	5467
April	1st to 10th	Night	34% 5% 9% 21% 24% 8%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 4 8% 22% 24% 10%	2045
	21st to end	Night	32% 6% 10% 27% 21% 5%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	39% 8% 15% 23% 13% 2	4060
	11th to 20th	Night	47% 7% 17% 16% 11% 1	4033
	21st to end	Night	34% 9% 12% 22% 21% 2	4429
June	1st to 10th	Night	40% 11% 16% 21% 11% 2	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 8% 18% 25% 13% 2	1800
	21st to end	Night	36% 12% 16% 19% 14% 3	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	46% 12% 19% 16% 6% 1	4015
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 16% 29% 15% 3 1	4006
	21st to end	Night	51% 12% 18% 15% 5% 1	4297
August	1st to 10th	Night	52% 10% 18% 16% 4	2904
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 11% 19% 19% 8% 1	2902
	21st to end	Night	31% 9% 15% 25% 17% 3	3597
September	1st to 10th	Night	37% 10% 14% 18% 17% 5%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 8% 12% 17% 19% 3	2200
	21st to end	Night	39% 5% 11% 21% 19% 6%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Night	29% 5% 9% 18% 32% 7%	3679
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 3 4 17% 27% 29%	3899
	21st to end	Night	25% 3 5% 20% 29% 18%	4252
November	1st to 10th	Night	32% 4 7% 19% 27% 12%	2461
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 4 5% 18% 27% 13%	2692
	21st to end	Night	36% 4 5% 21% 26% 8%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	35% 3 5% 18% 30% 8%	4250
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 4 11% 16% 20% 9%	4824
	21st to end	Night	43% 4 6% 25% 20% 3	6490

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 16% 38% 20% 5%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 17% 34% 22% 6%	300
	21st to end	Day	22% 19% 39% 14% 5%	330
February	1st to 10th	Day	18% 16% 40% 21% 5% 1	300
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 10% 34% 18% 3	300
	21st to end	Day	26% 18% 32% 20% 3 1	249
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 11% 32% 25% 9% 1	493
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 12% 38% 22% 8%	500
	21st to end	Day	20% 13% 35% 22% 9% 1	550
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 14% 30% 25% 12% 2	500
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 9% 31% 25% 18% 3	492
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 23% 29% 20% 7%	500
May	1st to 10th	Day	12% 8% 32% 24% 18% 6%	503
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 4 18% 26% 22% 12%	527
	21st to end	Day	16% 6% 14% 24% 22% 19%	573
June	1st to 10th	Day	12% 3 14% 27% 28% 15%	530
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 15% 27% 27% 22%	530
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 8% 31% 32% 19%	530
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 6% 19% 37% 27%	525
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 5% 23% 36% 26%	524
	21st to end	Day	7% 2 6% 27% 34% 24%	576
August	1st to 10th	Day	17% 4 10% 19% 29% 21%	526
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 3 7% 18% 33% 24%	519
	21st to end	Day	14% 3 8% 23% 28% 25%	583
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 9% 27% 34% 18%	530
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 2 13% 21% 32% 16%	530
	21st to end	Day	18% 3 13% 26% 28% 11%	530
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 3 18% 31% 20% 11%	530
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 20% 29% 26% 7%	530
	21st to end	Day	16% 4 25% 29% 20% 6%	583
November	1st to 10th	Day	20% 7% 22% 28% 18% 5%	530
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 9% 38% 26% 10% 1	321
	21st to end	Day	10% 12% 31% 31% 12% 4	300
December	1st to 10th	Day	26% 10% 35% 22% 5% 1	300
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 7% 33% 26% 9% 1	300
	21st to end	Day	29% 11% 32% 19% 6% 3	330
January	1st to 10th	Night	21% 12% 31% 29% 7%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 11% 32% 30% 6%	800
	21st to end	Night	20% 10% 38% 29% 3	880
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 9% 30% 36% 6%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 10% 34% 29% 3	783
	21st to end	Night	20% 12% 35% 30% 4	660
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 10% 31% 34% 6%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 9% 34% 30% 9% 1	800
	21st to end	Night	18% 9% 34% 29% 10%	880
April	1st to 10th	Night	14% 13% 27% 34% 12%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 9% 26% 34% 17% 1	776
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 24% 38% 22% 1	600
May	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 27% 38% 18% 1	600
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 19% 36% 24% 3	591
	21st to end	Night	13% 2 12% 33% 34% 7%	650
June	1st to 10th	Night	13% 2 11% 36% 33% 5%	600
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 2 13% 30% 35% 11%	600
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 8% 35% 37% 11%	600
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 1 6% 29% 44% 11%	585
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 1 3 27% 46% 12%	582
	21st to end	Night	9% 2 6% 28% 46% 10%	657
August	1st to 10th	Night	14% 2 5% 29% 39% 10%	597
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 2 6% 27% 41% 9%	594
	21st to end	Night	12% 3 6% 26% 43% 10%	765
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 9% 31% 40% 9%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 3 9% 27% 40% 6%	800
	21st to end	Night	17% 2 13% 31% 33% 4	800
October	1st to 10th	Night	14% 3 15% 31% 31% 6%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 20% 34% 24% 4	800
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 21% 34% 24% 2	880
November	1st to 10th	Night	16% 4 19% 36% 22% 3	820
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 6% 26% 34% 13% 2	829
	21st to end	Night	16% 7% 25% 36% 15% 1	800
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 10% 26% 34% 10% 1	800
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 25% 34% 12% 1	800
	21st to end	Night	25% 9% 24% 32% 9%	880

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