Mannford Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Mannford Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2026-04-02.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	10% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 50%	131839
	Night	10% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 55%	130304
Transparency	Day	33% 4 10% 26% 21% 6%	135504
	Night	30% 3 9% 26% 24% 7%	134703
Seeing	Day	14% 10% 29% 28% 15% 3	17256
	Night	14% 10% 31% 31% 12% 1	27263

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	10% 8% 5% 7% 4 4 3 3 4 5% 47%	5289
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 2 3 4 60%	5310
	21st to end	Day	15% 10% 3 6% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 47%	5812
February	1st to 10th	Day	13% 11% 3 7% 4 3 4 3 4 5% 44%	1890
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 3 5% 3 4 4 3 4 7% 47%	2028
	21st to end	Day	12% 8% 3 5% 3 3 4 3 4 6% 49%	1744
March	1st to 10th	Day	11% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 56%	5046
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 5% 7% 56%	5090
	21st to end	Day	11% 9% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 5% 7% 41%	5583
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 6% 2 6% 4 4 3 4 6% 6% 49%	2211
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 45%	2358
	21st to end	Day	18% 7% 2 6% 3 4 4 3 4 6% 43%	2600
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 8% 3 6% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 41%	5862
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 48%	5862
	21st to end	Day	16% 7% 3 8% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 36%	6434
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 2 5% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 10% 48%	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 2 5% 5% 5% 4 4 6% 8% 50%	2600
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 4 3 4 4 4 6% 8% 58%	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 9% 10% 43%	5900
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 5% 4 4 4 4 7% 9% 51%	5900
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 4 3 4 4 4 7% 10% 56%	6422
August	1st to 10th	Day	5% 3 2 4 3 3 4 4 7% 9% 57%	4234
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 2 5% 3 4 5% 4 7% 10% 50%	4171
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 4 3 3 4 4 5% 7% 59%	4482
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 1 5% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 54%	2203
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 2 6% 3 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 48%	2200
	21st to end	Day	9% 3 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 58%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Day	8% 4 1 4 3 4 4 3 5% 6% 60%	2093
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 1 3 3 2 2 2 4 5% 65%	2000
	21st to end	Day	14% 6% 2 4 3 2 2 3 3 4 56%	2200
November	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 2 4 2 2 2 3 5% 6% 61%	2037
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 6% 61%	1890
	21st to end	Day	13% 7% 2 3 2 2 2 3 5% 6% 54%	1890
December	1st to 10th	Day	8% 7% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 55%	3030
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 6% 2 6% 4 3 3 2 4 6% 55%	3481
	21st to end	Day	18% 12% 4 8% 4 4 3 2 4 5% 36%	4587
January	1st to 10th	Night	13% 7% 3 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 48%	7634
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 2 5% 4 5% 4 2 3 5% 62%	7680
	21st to end	Night	16% 7% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 5% 47%	8402
February	1st to 10th	Night	13% 8% 2 7% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 48%	2730
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 7% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 4 5% 49%	2495
	21st to end	Night	11% 7% 2 5% 4 3 3 2 3 5% 54%	2060
March	1st to 10th	Night	13% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 4 53%	5029
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 6% 64%	5090
	21st to end	Night	11% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 8% 49%	5588
April	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 55%	2211
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 1 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 53%	1985
	21st to end	Night	14% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 49%	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	16% 8% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 46%	4053
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 50%	4053
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 2 5% 3 4 3 3 6% 8% 48%	4443
June	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 2 5% 3 3 5% 4 5% 7% 56%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 1 4 3 3 4 4 7% 10% 55%	1800
	21st to end	Night	3 3 1 3 3 3 4 4 7% 9% 63%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 1 4 4 4 5% 5% 8% 10% 49%	4078
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 1 4 3 3 4 3 5% 10% 60%	4077
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 9% 64%	4449
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 2 1 3 2 3 4 4 6% 9% 63%	2926
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 3 2 5% 4 4 6% 5% 6% 8% 54%	2888
	21st to end	Night	3 3 1 3 3 3 3 4 5% 8% 66%	3421
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 58%	2192
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 1 5% 4 4 4 4 4 6% 52%	2200
	21st to end	Night	7% 3 1 5% 3 4 4 3 4 6% 59%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Night	7% 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 4 5% 63%	2285
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 4 2 4 2 2 2 3 4 5% 62%	2400
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 1 4 2 2 3 2 4 4 59%	2640
November	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 5% 63%	2476
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 2 4 3 2 3 2 3 6% 61%	2730
	21st to end	Night	14% 6% 1 4 2 3 3 2 3 5% 56%	2730
December	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 60%	4380
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 3 4 56%	4946
	21st to end	Night	17% 10% 3 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 45%	6633

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	40% 2 8% 27% 20% 3	5290
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 3 8% 26% 29% 7%	5310
	21st to end	Day	42% 2 5% 21% 26% 4	5812
February	1st to 10th	Day	44% 2 8% 24% 17% 4	1890
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 2 8% 27% 19% 4	2038
	21st to end	Day	38% 2 6% 22% 23% 10%	1744
March	1st to 10th	Day	33% 2 5% 21% 20% 19%	5046
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 2 9% 21% 21% 16%	5090
	21st to end	Day	44% 3 10% 30% 12% 1	5585
April	1st to 10th	Day	36% 3 11% 24% 19% 7%	2211
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 4 11% 22% 18% 6%	2358
	21st to end	Day	43% 4 9% 24% 18% 2	2600
May	1st to 10th	Day	46% 3 10% 22% 16% 3	5900
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 4 11% 21% 22% 5%	5866
	21st to end	Day	47% 5% 10% 17% 16% 4	6447
June	1st to 10th	Day	30% 5% 16% 29% 17% 3	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 5% 13% 28% 18% 4	2600
	21st to end	Day	24% 5% 14% 29% 23% 5%	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	34% 6% 16% 25% 16% 2	5836
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 5% 12% 30% 23% 2	5831
	21st to end	Day	21% 5% 19% 38% 17% 1	6240
August	1st to 10th	Day	24% 4 13% 28% 25% 6%	4220
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 5% 19% 28% 17% 2	4210
	21st to end	Day	24% 5% 13% 41% 14% 4	4481
September	1st to 10th	Day	32% 4 8% 26% 21% 9%	2203
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 5% 10% 23% 22% 5%	2200
	21st to end	Day	28% 4 7% 23% 30% 7%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 2 8% 14% 44% 14%	3405
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 1 4 25% 38% 16%	3240
	21st to end	Day	27% 2 6% 28% 29% 7%	3538
November	1st to 10th	Day	26% 2 6% 28% 28% 8%	2037
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 2 8% 29% 25% 9%	1890
	21st to end	Day	31% 3 8% 27% 25% 6%	1890
December	1st to 10th	Day	33% 2 6% 37% 21% 1	3030
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 2 5% 27% 29% 5%	3479
	21st to end	Day	50% 5% 6% 23% 13% 3	4587
January	1st to 10th	Night	39% 2 8% 28% 21% 3	7635
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 4 8% 22% 35% 8%	7680
	21st to end	Night	43% 2 7% 19% 26% 4	8402
February	1st to 10th	Night	40% 2 9% 24% 19% 5%	2730
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 2 8% 26% 19% 6%	2495
	21st to end	Night	36% 2 6% 21% 24% 11%	2060
March	1st to 10th	Night	37% 2 5% 20% 22% 14%	5029
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 2 7% 24% 24% 20%	5090
	21st to end	Night	34% 4 11% 32% 16% 2	5588
April	1st to 10th	Night	31% 4 10% 23% 23% 10%	2211
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 2 9% 25% 20% 9%	1985
	21st to end	Night	37% 4 10% 25% 22% 3	1800
May	1st to 10th	Night	40% 5% 11% 19% 21% 4	4080
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 4 11% 22% 21% 7%	4054
	21st to end	Night	35% 5% 14% 24% 17% 5%	4452
June	1st to 10th	Night	27% 5% 17% 31% 19% 3	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 4 15% 34% 19% 4	1800
	21st to end	Night	19% 4 14% 31% 26% 7%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	27% 7% 17% 31% 15% 3	4035
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 4 12% 36% 26% 2	4026
	21st to end	Night	17% 4 15% 40% 23% 1	4320
August	1st to 10th	Night	18% 3 13% 33% 25% 8%	2916
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 5% 15% 28% 21% 4	2915
	21st to end	Night	18% 5% 12% 42% 18% 5%	3421
September	1st to 10th	Night	28% 3 8% 27% 25% 10%	2192
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 5% 9% 22% 26% 7%	2200
	21st to end	Night	27% 3 6% 25% 31% 8%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Night	15% 2 6% 14% 38% 24%	3740
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 2 4 20% 37% 18%	3899
	21st to end	Night	25% 2 6% 28% 29% 9%	4252
November	1st to 10th	Night	25% 2 8% 24% 31% 10%	2476
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 2 7% 26% 27% 10%	2730
	21st to end	Night	33% 2 7% 23% 28% 7%	2730
December	1st to 10th	Night	28% 3 9% 38% 20% 3	4380
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 2 5% 24% 28% 7%	4947
	21st to end	Night	42% 3 6% 26% 18% 5%	6633

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 20% 36% 20% 3	330
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 22% 39% 15% 2	330
	21st to end	Day	18% 20% 41% 16% 5%	363
February	1st to 10th	Day	23% 18% 44% 12% 3	330
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 25% 40% 13% 1	330
	21st to end	Day	27% 24% 34% 12% 3	273
March	1st to 10th	Day	25% 20% 36% 16% 2	330
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 21% 38% 15% 1	330
	21st to end	Day	23% 25% 36% 11% 4 1	363
April	1st to 10th	Day	24% 24% 31% 16% 5%	303
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 21% 38% 15% 3	476
	21st to end	Day	24% 17% 33% 17% 7% 1	700
May	1st to 10th	Day	19% 13% 38% 24% 5% 1	703
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 12% 34% 26% 10% 2	725
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 34% 22% 14% 5%	789
June	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 25% 38% 20% 5%	730
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 29% 41% 16% 3	730
	21st to end	Day	5% 2 27% 41% 21% 5%	730
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 14% 37% 29% 10%	721
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 17% 41% 31% 6%	718
	21st to end	Day	7% 12% 38% 34% 9%	794
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 2 16% 40% 31% 4	726
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 16% 38% 32% 5%	715
	21st to end	Day	8% 1 10% 37% 36% 7%	688
September	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 16% 33% 31% 9%	333
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 20% 44% 25% 6%	330
	21st to end	Day	14% 4 21% 39% 17% 6%	330
October	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 35% 29% 18% 5%	330
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 13% 39% 26% 9% 1	330
	21st to end	Day	25% 13% 34% 21% 6% 1	363
November	1st to 10th	Day	16% 13% 44% 19% 7% 1	330
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 18% 35% 21% 8% 2	330
	21st to end	Day	25% 14% 38% 18% 4 1	330
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 17% 40% 17% 7% 1	330
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 16% 40% 19% 3	330
	21st to end	Day	20% 21% 38% 17% 3	363
January	1st to 10th	Night	16% 15% 38% 25% 5%	1050
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 17% 38% 26% 4	1050
	21st to end	Night	15% 15% 38% 28% 5%	1155
February	1st to 10th	Night	18% 15% 40% 24% 3	1050
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 20% 34% 23% 2	861
	21st to end	Night	18% 17% 39% 24% 3	676
March	1st to 10th	Night	17% 15% 37% 28% 3	630
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 15% 36% 24% 3	630
	21st to end	Night	18% 16% 40% 22% 5%	693
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 15% 41% 24% 3	603
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 16% 38% 24% 5%	593
	21st to end	Night	17% 13% 40% 24% 7% 1	600
May	1st to 10th	Night	16% 9% 38% 32% 6% 1	600
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 7% 32% 31% 14% 1	591
	21st to end	Night	11% 7% 31% 34% 16% 2	650
June	1st to 10th	Night	8% 3 23% 41% 23% 2	600
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 28% 45% 17% 1	600
	21st to end	Night	3 2 29% 48% 17% 2	600
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 14% 48% 29% 4	585
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 18% 46% 28% 3	582
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 11% 43% 34% 3	657
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 17% 46% 30% 2	597
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 13% 44% 33% 3	594
	21st to end	Night	4 1 12% 43% 38% 3	660
September	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 14% 41% 32% 2	600
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 1 20% 40% 23% 4	600
	21st to end	Night	9% 2 23% 40% 22% 4	600
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 29% 35% 22% 3	685
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 8% 38% 31% 9%	800
	21st to end	Night	18% 11% 30% 29% 11% 1	880
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 9% 39% 28% 11% 1	836
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 13% 35% 30% 7%	1050
	21st to end	Night	18% 12% 36% 25% 8%	1050
December	1st to 10th	Night	16% 14% 36% 28% 6%	1050
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 12% 37% 26% 5%	1050
	21st to end	Night	17% 18% 33% 27% 5%	1155

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