Phelan
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Phelan clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-12-02.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 6% 78%	105570
	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 6% 78%	102803
Transparency	Day	11% 4 6% 14% 28% 38%	105327
	Night	11% 6% 7% 14% 28% 34%	102635
Seeing	Day	3 9% 22% 34% 24% 8%	15695
	Night	2 4 20% 38% 31% 6%	25565

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 8% 71%	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 1 3 2 2 3 3 6% 10% 64%	2895
	21st to end	Day	4 5% 1 4 3 3 4 4 5% 8% 59%	3498
February	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 5% 6% 68%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 9% 69%	1850
	21st to end	Day	1 3 1 3 3 4 3 3 4 7% 68%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 6% 9% 67%	3138
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 1 3 2 2 3 3 5% 8% 64%	3273
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 6% 9% 65%	4120
April	1st to 10th	Day	2 3 1 2 2 3 2 2 5% 7% 71%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 80%	2249
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 2 1 2 4 8% 79%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 87%	4005
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 5% 85%	4071
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 88%	4477
June	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 2 4 6% 81%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 3 91%	2608
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 86%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 90%	4420
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 5% 80%	4268
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 5% 82%	4304
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5% 83%	3783
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 90%	3724
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 89%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 2 1 2 2 2 4 6% 79%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 90%	2109
	21st to end	Day	1 1 2 1 2 3 3 86%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 85%	3490
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 2 4 89%	3347
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 3 2 4 6% 80%	3294
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 2 2 3 3 6% 79%	1764
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 7% 75%	1800
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 2 2 3 4 3 4 8% 69%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 1 2 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 65%	1719
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 3 4 3 5% 5% 8% 11% 57%	2169
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 5% 4 5% 5% 5% 6% 9% 53%	3146
January	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 5% 7% 70%	4379
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 3 2 3 4 4 6% 10% 63%	4045
	21st to end	Night	4 3 1 4 2 3 4 3 5% 8% 62%	4180
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 6% 68%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 3 2 3 4 3 5% 7% 68%	2218
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 3 2 3 4 4 5% 8% 69%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 1 2 1 2 2 3 5% 8% 71%	3736
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 9% 63%	3693
	21st to end	Night	2 1 3 2 2 2 3 5% 8% 72%	3529
April	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 8% 71%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 6% 79%	1879
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 1 1 1 2 4 7% 81%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 4 88%	2966
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 3 4 86%	2834
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 92%	3110
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 3 6% 85%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 3 92%	1565
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 89%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 94%	2540
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 86%	2690
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 87%	3260
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 87%	3166
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 2 3 92%	3126
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 91%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 85%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 2 91%	2069
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 4 89%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 88%	3490
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 2 4 89%	3586
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 2 1 3 5% 85%	4268
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 6% 80%	2535
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 6% 78%	2600
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 3 3 2 3 3 5% 8% 69%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 2 2 3 4 3 5% 8% 65%	2495
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 3 3 3 4 4 7% 10% 62%	3041
	21st to end	Night	2 2 1 4 4 4 5% 4 7% 8% 58%	4521

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	15% 4 7% 25% 38% 11%	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 6% 15% 23% 26% 11%	2895
	21st to end	Day	26% 8% 7% 19% 28% 13%	3498
February	1st to 10th	Day	19% 6% 7% 17% 27% 25%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 6% 7% 16% 32% 22%	1860
	21st to end	Day	19% 6% 10% 19% 27% 19%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	15% 13% 13% 19% 23% 16%	3138
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 6% 10% 28% 23% 16%	3273
	21st to end	Day	16% 8% 16% 27% 25% 8%	4120
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 5% 9% 22% 30% 19%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 6% 19% 34% 25%	2252
	21st to end	Day	9% 4 9% 20% 39% 19%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 8% 16% 33% 34%	4005
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 2 6% 13% 46% 27%	4074
	21st to end	Day	6% 2 5% 14% 46% 27%	4477
June	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 5% 13% 34% 38%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 3 9% 25% 59%	2608
	21st to end	Day	7% 1 3 3 20% 67%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	4 1 2 3 8% 81%	4351
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 3 8% 19% 60%	4193
	21st to end	Day	7% 2 4 11% 29% 47%	4168
August	1st to 10th	Day	7% 1 3 6% 30% 53%	3770
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 2 7% 24% 62%	3760
	21st to end	Day	5% 1 2 4 18% 70%	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	9% 3 5% 7% 21% 55%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 3 7% 29% 56%	2109
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 3 8% 32% 49%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	7% 2 3 8% 17% 63%	3490
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 3 8% 36% 48%	3347
	21st to end	Day	7% 2 5% 8% 30% 48%	3294
November	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 6% 16% 34% 31%	1764
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 7% 15% 28% 35%	1800
	21st to end	Day	16% 4 9% 14% 29% 28%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	19% 6% 8% 21% 24% 23%	1719
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 13% 11% 15% 27% 12%	2168
	21st to end	Day	30% 8% 8% 22% 22% 10%	3146
January	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 8% 17% 37% 14%	4379
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 10% 11% 24% 25% 12%	4045
	21st to end	Night	24% 10% 8% 19% 29% 12%	4180
February	1st to 10th	Night	21% 6% 8% 15% 23% 26%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 8% 17% 29% 23%	2219
	21st to end	Night	17% 10% 11% 17% 25% 20%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	15% 16% 15% 19% 19% 15%	3736
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 9% 11% 25% 24% 13%	3693
	21st to end	Night	15% 13% 13% 25% 27% 8%	3529
April	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 10% 24% 23% 19%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 8% 8% 22% 28% 23%	1879
	21st to end	Night	8% 6% 11% 19% 38% 18%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 9% 17% 36% 29%	2966
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 10% 14% 45% 24%	2835
	21st to end	Night	3 3 14% 17% 43% 20%	3110
June	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 6% 16% 34% 34%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 3 11% 29% 52%	1565
	21st to end	Night	4 1 4 5% 23% 64%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 2 4 10% 82%	2500
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 3 7% 15% 67%	2642
	21st to end	Night	6% 2 3 13% 27% 49%	3158
August	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 3 6% 33% 51%	3156
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 2 7% 30% 58%	3156
	21st to end	Night	4 1 2 4 18% 72%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 4 6% 26% 54%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	4 2 3 8% 31% 53%	2069
	21st to end	Night	4 3 4 10% 29% 50%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 2 3 8% 18% 64%	3490
	11th to 20th	Night	4 2 3 7% 33% 50%	3586
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 5% 6% 30% 49%	4268
November	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 7% 15% 33% 32%	2535
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 4 7% 14% 30% 35%	2600
	21st to end	Night	16% 5% 10% 18% 23% 28%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	19% 6% 8% 16% 26% 25%	2495
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 13% 10% 18% 26% 13%	3041
	21st to end	Night	25% 9% 10% 21% 25% 10%	4521

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	2 16% 28% 37% 16% 2	180
	11th to 20th	Day	4 14% 25% 34% 20% 3	323
	21st to end	Day	5% 20% 25% 30% 18% 2	506
February	1st to 10th	Day	5% 17% 26% 31% 17% 4	460
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 18% 28% 33% 13% 2	455
	21st to end	Day	5% 15% 33% 36% 10% 1	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	5% 20% 32% 28% 13% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 18% 29% 32% 14% 2	460
	21st to end	Day	5% 21% 33% 28% 12% 2	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	7% 15% 27% 31% 16% 5%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	2 20% 29% 29% 16% 4	452
	21st to end	Day	3 18% 26% 27% 18% 8%	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	4 15% 25% 31% 20% 5%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	2 12% 28% 33% 19% 7%	488
	21st to end	Day	2 10% 25% 34% 22% 7%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	1 6% 21% 34% 24% 12%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 19% 37% 29% 10%	490
	21st to end	Day	1 3 20% 38% 27% 12%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	2 11% 38% 33% 16%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 8% 38% 32% 20%	484
	21st to end	Day	2 1 8% 36% 34% 20%	531
August	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 10% 40% 30% 16%	487
	11th to 20th	Day	2 9% 34% 36% 18%	477
	21st to end	Day	1 1 10% 36% 35% 16%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 16% 36% 34% 11%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 20% 39% 31% 7%	490
	21st to end	Day	1 4 21% 33% 32% 9%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	1 7% 23% 33% 29% 7%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	1 7% 18% 37% 29% 7%	490
	21st to end	Day	1 6% 24% 32% 30% 6%	447
November	1st to 10th	Day	2 8% 23% 32% 30% 5%	300
	11th to 20th	Day	1 8% 21% 38% 25% 7%	300
	21st to end	Day	1 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%	300
December	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 24% 40% 23% 4	273
	11th to 20th	Day	1 10% 26% 36% 23% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	9% 12% 30% 31% 16% 2	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	5% 7% 26% 37% 21% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 27% 42% 21% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	5% 7% 29% 38% 18% 2	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	5% 7% 26% 36% 23% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 9% 27% 36% 20% 5%	744
	21st to end	Night	3 9% 33% 37% 16% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	3 7% 33% 37% 17% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 7% 26% 36% 23% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	2 11% 31% 37% 18% 2	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	2 8% 28% 36% 23% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	1 8% 32% 34% 23% 2	751
	21st to end	Night	2 7% 27% 35% 24% 5%	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	1 4 29% 43% 21% 3	637
	11th to 20th	Night	4 27% 37% 29% 2	561
	21st to end	Night	1 4 25% 43% 24% 2	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	2 16% 51% 29% 2	570
	11th to 20th	Night	1 14% 50% 33% 2	425
	21st to end	Night	1 1 8% 47% 41% 3	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 38% 53% 8%	370
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 3 33% 59% 4	453
	21st to end	Night	1 3 32% 55% 7%	713
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 34% 49% 11%	756
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 31% 53% 12%	752
	21st to end	Night	1 3 30% 53% 13%	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 5% 29% 53% 11%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 40% 43% 9%	760
	21st to end	Night	1 12% 37% 40% 10%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 17% 41% 33% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 13% 39% 35% 9%	760
	21st to end	Night	1 3 20% 35% 30% 11%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 20% 38% 32% 7%	780
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 18% 44% 28% 8%	800
	21st to end	Night	2 3 23% 42% 25% 5%	800
December	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 24% 39% 24% 4	768
	11th to 20th	Night	4 7% 27% 38% 21% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	5% 6% 30% 39% 18% 3	836

Page generated at 2024-11-29 07:43:10. Version ac07

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