James Wylie Shepherd Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the James Wylie Shepherd Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-12.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	12% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 42%	100873
	Night	12% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 45%	98264
Transparency	Day	37% 7% 11% 20% 19% 6%	104707
	Night	36% 7% 10% 20% 20% 8%	102569
Seeing	Day	14% 10% 23% 25% 20% 9%	14549
	Night	14% 8% 22% 30% 22% 4	24515

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	17% 12% 3 6% 4 4 3 4 6% 4 38%	2836
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 8% 3 5% 4 3 3 3 3 5% 50%	3013
	21st to end	Day	24% 11% 2 4 3 2 2 2 4 5% 42%	3476
February	1st to 10th	Day	18% 10% 3 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 5% 39%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 8% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 5% 41%	1848
	21st to end	Day	20% 8% 3 7% 4 3 4 3 4 4 39%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 9% 3 6% 3 4 4 3 5% 6% 34%	3120
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 42%	3334
	21st to end	Day	16% 7% 2 7% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 7% 39%	4027
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 2 5% 5% 4 4 3 5% 6% 47%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 3 5% 7% 45%	2254
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 2 5% 4 5% 5% 3 6% 8% 50%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 10% 44%	3982
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 40%	4081
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 9% 44%	4476
June	1st to 10th	Day	10% 7% 3 7% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 11% 34%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 5% 6% 4 6% 6% 7% 10% 43%	2470
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 8% 10% 40%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 6% 2 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 9% 12% 27%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 6% 2 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 9% 11% 31%	4120
	21st to end	Day	9% 8% 3 9% 7% 8% 8% 7% 9% 10% 22%	4293
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 4 4 5% 6% 5% 8% 11% 50%	3785
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 48%	3729
	21st to end	Day	7% 3 2 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 8% 46%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 6% 3 7% 6% 6% 4 4 7% 8% 41%	2237
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 7% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 42%	2090
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 1 5% 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 52%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 53%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 4 2 4 4 2 3 3 5% 7% 57%	2090
	21st to end	Day	12% 6% 1 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 54%	1984
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 2 4 3 4 4 2 4 5% 53%	1762
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 52%	1719
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 2 5% 5% 2 4 4 5% 6% 47%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	19% 7% 2 5% 4 5% 4 3 5% 6% 40%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 9% 3 6% 4 4 4 2 4 4 43%	2153
	21st to end	Day	18% 9% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 37%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	18% 13% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 40%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 8% 3 6% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 45%	3931
	21st to end	Night	22% 13% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 3 3 40%	4180
February	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 3 6% 4 3 3 4 5% 6% 42%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 8% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 43%	2218
	21st to end	Night	18% 7% 2 6% 4 3 3 4 5% 6% 41%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	25% 10% 3 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 35%	3733
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 7% 1 4 3 3 4 4 5% 8% 47%	3624
	21st to end	Night	15% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 41%	3631
April	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 2 5% 4 5% 4 4 6% 7% 46%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 7% 49%	1875
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 6% 6% 54%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	8% 7% 2 7% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 44%	2912
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 7% 2 5% 5% 4 4 4 6% 8% 40%	2812
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 1 4 5% 4 5% 5% 8% 11% 49%	3079
June	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 2 8% 6% 5% 7% 5% 8% 10% 37%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 1 4 5% 4 4 4 8% 11% 51%	1710
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 2 5% 4 6% 6% 6% 8% 12% 43%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	7% 7% 3 7% 5% 7% 7% 5% 8% 12% 32%	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 3 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 9% 13% 33%	2840
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 4 10% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 27%	3241
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 2 4 3 4 4 5% 8% 11% 53%	3144
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 1 5% 5% 3 4 4 7% 9% 52%	3100
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 1 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 51%	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 44%	1924
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 6% 9% 46%	2090
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 2 6% 4 3 4 4 6% 8% 52%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 2 5% 3 2 4 3 4 5% 60%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 3 2 3 3 3 4 6% 58%	2090
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 1 5% 3 3 3 3 3 4 57%	2607
November	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 2 5% 3 3 3 3 6% 6% 56%	2536
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 54%	2484
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 2 4 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 48%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 4 7% 43%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 8% 3 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 47%	3042
	21st to end	Night	18% 8% 3 7% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 35%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	46% 5% 5% 15% 24% 4	2837
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 5% 7% 25% 22% 5%	3013
	21st to end	Day	46% 3 7% 17% 19% 9%	3476
February	1st to 10th	Day	47% 4 8% 19% 18% 5%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	47% 3 5% 16% 21% 8%	1858
	21st to end	Day	49% 5% 5% 13% 20% 8%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	50% 6% 9% 12% 17% 7%	3120
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 5% 8% 17% 19% 9%	3334
	21st to end	Day	43% 6% 9% 16% 20% 5%	4027
April	1st to 10th	Day	38% 5% 10% 20% 20% 8%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 6% 7% 19% 22% 8%	2254
	21st to end	Day	31% 7% 11% 22% 26% 3	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	32% 9% 12% 26% 17% 2	4018
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 7% 12% 27% 11% 2	4085
	21st to end	Day	33% 10% 14% 26% 16% 2	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	42% 10% 13% 19% 14% 1	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 10% 17% 24% 16% 2	2470
	21st to end	Day	35% 10% 18% 22% 10% 4	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	42% 15% 21% 16% 5% 1	4055
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 15% 21% 19% 6% 1	4051
	21st to end	Day	51% 14% 15% 15% 5%	4156
August	1st to 10th	Day	23% 9% 14% 33% 20% 1	3773
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 9% 16% 27% 14% 3	3765
	21st to end	Day	31% 11% 16% 20% 19% 3	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	39% 9% 13% 15% 18% 5%	2237
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 8% 10% 17% 19% 4	2090
	21st to end	Day	34% 5% 10% 22% 21% 7%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	23% 4 6% 13% 31% 23%	3480
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 2 5% 15% 29% 31%	3458
	21st to end	Day	23% 4 5% 18% 37% 13%	3247
November	1st to 10th	Day	35% 3 7% 17% 26% 12%	1762
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 4 7% 17% 27% 11%	1719
	21st to end	Day	38% 6% 8% 16% 24% 9%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	45% 5% 8% 17% 19% 6%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 4 6% 16% 23% 5%	2150
	21st to end	Day	47% 5% 7% 19% 20% 2	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	45% 4 5% 16% 25% 5%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 4 4 22% 20% 9%	3931
	21st to end	Night	50% 3 3 15% 24% 5%	4180
February	1st to 10th	Night	43% 4 7% 18% 20% 9%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	45% 4 4 16% 20% 11%	2219
	21st to end	Night	43% 6% 9% 14% 18% 10%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	51% 5% 8% 14% 15% 8%	3733
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 7% 9% 18% 21% 11%	3624
	21st to end	Night	43% 5% 8% 19% 20% 6%	3631
April	1st to 10th	Night	35% 6% 11% 19% 19% 8%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 4 7% 20% 23% 11%	1875
	21st to end	Night	30% 6% 10% 25% 23% 6%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	33% 12% 12% 20% 20% 3	2941
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 8% 15% 23% 12% 2	2813
	21st to end	Night	24% 11% 14% 29% 18% 3	3087
June	1st to 10th	Night	37% 13% 14% 19% 16% 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 9% 20% 27% 16% 3	1710
	21st to end	Night	29% 12% 19% 20% 16% 4	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	41% 12% 22% 18% 6% 1	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 15% 23% 19% 6% 1	2786
	21st to end	Night	49% 13% 17% 15% 5% 1	3138
August	1st to 10th	Night	20% 10% 14% 37% 17% 2	3132
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 10% 18% 29% 14% 3	3130
	21st to end	Night	27% 8% 16% 21% 24% 4	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	36% 9% 15% 17% 15% 7%	1924
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 9% 12% 20% 19% 5%	2090
	21st to end	Night	30% 6% 10% 23% 23% 7%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	22% 4 7% 14% 27% 26%	3480
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 3 4 16% 29% 31%	3461
	21st to end	Night	22% 3 4 21% 32% 18%	4294
November	1st to 10th	Night	29% 4 9% 17% 26% 14%	2536
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 4 6% 18% 27% 14%	2484
	21st to end	Night	36% 5% 8% 18% 23% 10%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	41% 5% 9% 19% 21% 5%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 4 7% 14% 29% 6%	3044
	21st to end	Night	45% 5% 9% 19% 20% 3	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	22% 25% 32% 17% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 23% 31% 16% 7%	270
	21st to end	Day	26% 26% 35% 12% 1 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	23% 24% 34% 15% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 21% 31% 13% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 25% 42% 11%	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 23% 35% 13% 6% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 19% 35% 19% 7%	366
	21st to end	Day	22% 17% 33% 20% 9%	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	20% 15% 31% 20% 12% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 14% 34% 22% 11% 2	452
	21st to end	Day	12% 13% 29% 30% 15% 2	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	12% 8% 27% 32% 16% 5%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 26% 31% 20% 10%	487
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 23% 29% 18% 15%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 16% 32% 25% 12%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 4 13% 24% 31% 20%	490
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 14% 27% 32% 18%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 8% 24% 35% 23%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 2 6% 24% 32% 31%	484
	21st to end	Day	6% 2 8% 22% 38% 24%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 8% 24% 34% 24%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 1 9% 29% 34% 19%	479
	21st to end	Day	12% 3 10% 25% 30% 20%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 12% 34% 30% 14%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 4 12% 27% 32% 11%	490
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 16% 28% 31% 10%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	10% 7% 21% 32% 24% 6%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 27% 34% 20% 3	490
	21st to end	Day	16% 13% 23% 30% 15% 3	349
November	1st to 10th	Day	20% 8% 28% 30% 9% 4	300
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 11% 40% 24% 8%	273
	21st to end	Day	13% 17% 38% 22% 9% 1	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	26% 19% 33% 19% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 17% 37% 17% 5% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	26% 17% 33% 18% 5%	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	21% 16% 34% 24% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 17% 27% 27% 8%	760
	21st to end	Night	20% 15% 36% 26% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 14% 33% 28% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 15% 31% 25% 5%	743
	21st to end	Night	21% 16% 36% 24% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 14% 31% 30% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 14% 35% 26% 9%	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 12% 33% 28% 11%	727
April	1st to 10th	Night	13% 11% 36% 26% 14%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 10% 32% 28% 14% 2	563
	21st to end	Night	10% 8% 30% 33% 17% 2	570
May	1st to 10th	Night	6% 8% 29% 31% 23% 3	570
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 3 23% 34% 24% 4	561
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 11% 36% 36% 7%	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	8% 1 10% 42% 34% 5%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 11% 27% 44% 12%	570
	21st to end	Night	6% 2 8% 28% 45% 12%	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	7% 1 6% 27% 44% 15%	555
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 4 22% 44% 22%	552
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 7% 24% 47% 15%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 25% 48% 17%	567
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 7% 30% 44% 10%	564
	21st to end	Night	11% 2 7% 25% 40% 14%	627
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 9% 31% 37% 10%	594
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 3 11% 28% 39% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 14% 32% 38% 4	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 22% 34% 28% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 23% 34% 24% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	15% 7% 20% 37% 19% 2	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 7% 21% 37% 19% 3	780
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 10% 27% 33% 14% 1	765
	21st to end	Night	16% 11% 27% 33% 12% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 11% 28% 29% 10% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 10% 30% 27% 10%	760
	21st to end	Night	25% 11% 29% 28% 6%	836

Page generated at 2024-11-08 21:45:41. Version ac07

Copyright © 2024 Attilla Danko.