Serenity Way Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Serenity Way Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2026-06-16.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 7% 53%	137718
	Night	11% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 57%	134620
Transparency	Day	31% 4 10% 24% 23% 8%	141435
	Night	29% 4 9% 23% 25% 11%	138970
Seeing	Day	11% 6% 21% 28% 24% 9%	17310
	Night	12% 6% 28% 37% 17% 1	27211

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 56%	5289
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 1 4 3 2 3 3 4 6% 65%	5310
	21st to end	Day	21% 7% 2 6% 3 3 3 2 3 4 46%	5812
February	1st to 10th	Day	15% 7% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 49%	2032
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 49%	2049
	21st to end	Day	18% 7% 1 4 3 2 2 2 3 4 56%	1735
March	1st to 10th	Day	15% 5% 1 4 3 3 4 3 4 6% 52%	5046
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 1 4 3 3 3 2 4 5% 57%	5090
	21st to end	Day	12% 6% 2 4 3 4 4 4 5% 6% 50%	5583
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 6% 6% 50%	2310
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 48%	2378
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 2 4 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 47%	2710
May	1st to 10th	Day	17% 7% 3 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 40%	7617
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 5% 5% 46%	7627
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 36%	8392
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 1 4 4 4 4 4 6% 11% 50%	2730
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 54%	2666
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 4 3 3 5% 4 6% 8% 58%	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 44%	5900
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 6% 9% 64%	5900
	21st to end	Day	3 3 1 4 3 3 4 4 7% 10% 58%	6422
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 7% 71%	4234
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 1 3 2 3 4 4 6% 9% 62%	4171
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 3 3 3 5% 4 5% 9% 60%	4181
September	1st to 10th	Day	9% 4 2 5% 3 3 5% 3 5% 7% 55%	2200
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 4 2 5% 5% 4 4 4 6% 7% 51%	2200
	21st to end	Day	8% 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 61%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 6% 64%	2161
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 4 2 4 2 2 3 2 3 5% 65%	2000
	21st to end	Day	14% 3 2 4 3 2 3 1 3 3 63%	2200
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 4 1 3 3 3 3 2 3 5% 59%	2058
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 1 4 2 4 3 2 3 6% 65%	1927
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 2 4 3 2 3 3 3 5% 57%	1890
December	1st to 10th	Day	15% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 3 5% 52%	3030
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 4 49%	3481
	21st to end	Day	19% 7% 2 5% 3 2 2 2 3 4 51%	4587
January	1st to 10th	Night	13% 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 58%	7634
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 5% 74%	7680
	21st to end	Night	23% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 44%	8402
February	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 2 3 5% 53%	2606
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 5% 51%	2458
	21st to end	Night	17% 5% 1 3 3 2 3 2 4 5% 56%	2070
March	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 5% 6% 48%	5029
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 1 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 59%	5090
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 3 4 3 3 4 5% 53%	5588
April	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 2 4 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 53%	2310
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 8% 51%	2189
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 2 3 3 3 4 7% 53%	1905
May	1st to 10th	Night	15% 7% 2 7% 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 41%	5266
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 49%	5265
	21st to end	Night	12% 6% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 9% 44%	5793
June	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 4 3 4 4 4 6% 9% 57%	1890
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 1 3 3 3 2 3 6% 10% 62%	1845
	21st to end	Night	2 2 1 3 3 3 4 3 6% 9% 65%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 10% 48%	4078
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 9% 68%	4077
	21st to end	Night	2 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 65%	4449
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 5% 9% 74%	2926
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 6% 10% 68%	2888
	21st to end	Night	3 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 9% 65%	3688
September	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 5% 60%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 4 2 6% 4 3 3 3 6% 6% 54%	2200
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 1 3 2 3 4 3 6% 7% 64%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 1 4 2 3 3 3 4 6% 67%	2217
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 3 1 3 2 3 2 2 4 5% 66%	2400
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 2 4 2 1 2 2 3 4 63%	2640
November	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 4 63%	2460
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 4 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 6% 64%	2688
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 55%	2730
December	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 5% 55%	4380
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 3 4 53%	4946
	21st to end	Night	15% 7% 2 5% 2 2 2 2 3 5% 55%	6633

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	30% 2 8% 27% 27% 5%	5290
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 2 6% 24% 37% 8%	5310
	21st to end	Day	45% 2 3 19% 21% 10%	5812
February	1st to 10th	Day	40% 3 6% 20% 21% 9%	2032
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 4 8% 21% 20% 8%	2059
	21st to end	Day	36% 3 3 17% 27% 14%	1735
March	1st to 10th	Day	33% 4 6% 15% 24% 18%	5046
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 6% 7% 18% 18% 21%	5090
	21st to end	Day	33% 6% 11% 24% 20% 6%	5585
April	1st to 10th	Day	35% 5% 9% 21% 19% 10%	2310
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 6% 10% 18% 19% 10%	2378
	21st to end	Day	37% 5% 10% 21% 22% 4	2710
May	1st to 10th	Day	44% 5% 11% 20% 16% 4	7655
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 4 8% 20% 24% 4	7631
	21st to end	Day	44% 6% 14% 20% 11% 5%	8405
June	1st to 10th	Day	27% 9% 16% 27% 18% 3	2730
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 6% 14% 28% 20% 5%	2666
	21st to end	Day	23% 7% 14% 29% 24% 4	2600
July	1st to 10th	Day	38% 4 14% 31% 11% 1	5836
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 3 15% 39% 23% 3	5831
	21st to end	Day	21% 5% 14% 33% 24% 2	6240
August	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 12% 30% 34% 7%	4220
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 5% 15% 40% 20% 2	4210
	21st to end	Day	20% 6% 20% 37% 15% 3	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	29% 5% 10% 22% 22% 11%	2200
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 7% 11% 21% 22% 7%	2200
	21st to end	Day	23% 5% 8% 23% 28% 13%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Day	13% 3 6% 14% 36% 27%	3525
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 2 6% 20% 36% 19%	3240
	21st to end	Day	24% 2 5% 30% 28% 11%	3538
November	1st to 10th	Day	30% 4 7% 22% 28% 10%	2058
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 4 10% 21% 30% 12%	1927
	21st to end	Day	32% 3 6% 22% 27% 10%	1890
December	1st to 10th	Day	37% 3 5% 28% 23% 5%	3030
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 4 5% 12% 29% 10%	3479
	21st to end	Day	39% 3 4 25% 20% 8%	4587
January	1st to 10th	Night	29% 3 7% 25% 30% 6%	7635
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 2 6% 20% 39% 17%	7680
	21st to end	Night	46% 3 4 15% 20% 11%	8402
February	1st to 10th	Night	35% 4 7% 19% 23% 12%	2606
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 3 8% 18% 24% 10%	2458
	21st to end	Night	33% 3 6% 16% 25% 17%	2070
March	1st to 10th	Night	37% 4 6% 13% 22% 17%	5029
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 5% 8% 18% 19% 24%	5090
	21st to end	Night	34% 4 7% 19% 29% 6%	5588
April	1st to 10th	Night	29% 6% 10% 21% 19% 14%	2310
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 5% 10% 19% 20% 13%	2189
	21st to end	Night	31% 5% 11% 22% 25% 5%	1905
May	1st to 10th	Night	43% 5% 13% 20% 14% 5%	5293
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 5% 11% 19% 24% 6%	5266
	21st to end	Night	37% 6% 17% 24% 10% 7%	5805
June	1st to 10th	Night	23% 7% 16% 30% 20% 4	1890
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 6% 14% 32% 23% 8%	1845
	21st to end	Night	17% 7% 14% 28% 28% 6%	1800
July	1st to 10th	Night	34% 4 14% 33% 13% 2	4035
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 3 14% 37% 27% 4	4026
	21st to end	Night	18% 4 15% 35% 26% 2	4320
August	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 9% 31% 42% 6%	2916
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 3 13% 39% 26% 5%	2915
	21st to end	Night	18% 4 19% 35% 21% 3	3688
September	1st to 10th	Night	26% 5% 10% 22% 26% 11%	2200
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 6% 10% 21% 22% 11%	2200
	21st to end	Night	20% 4 9% 23% 28% 16%	2200
October	1st to 10th	Night	12% 3 5% 14% 32% 34%	3620
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 2 5% 20% 33% 25%	3899
	21st to end	Night	25% 2 4 24% 30% 15%	4252
November	1st to 10th	Night	26% 4 7% 20% 28% 15%	2460
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 4 8% 22% 28% 15%	2688
	21st to end	Night	33% 4 7% 17% 28% 11%	2730
December	1st to 10th	Night	34% 2 5% 23% 27% 9%	4380
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 3 5% 15% 26% 14%	4947
	21st to end	Night	35% 2 6% 21% 26% 10%	6633

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	17% 14% 32% 30% 8%	330
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 14% 35% 25% 8% 2	330
	21st to end	Day	18% 10% 39% 23% 9% 1	363
February	1st to 10th	Day	19% 12% 35% 26% 8% 1	330
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 13% 41% 19% 5%	330
	21st to end	Day	24% 11% 40% 19% 7%	273
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 14% 33% 24% 5% 1	330
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 17% 39% 20% 6% 1	330
	21st to end	Day	13% 15% 37% 25% 10%	363
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 15% 36% 22% 9% 2	330
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 13% 38% 26% 8%	416
	21st to end	Day	17% 12% 39% 23% 9% 1	730
May	1st to 10th	Day	13% 9% 32% 36% 9% 1	753
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 6% 30% 29% 14% 3	775
	21st to end	Day	12% 7% 25% 33% 18% 5%	844
June	1st to 10th	Day	8% 1 14% 39% 29% 8%	780
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 1 14% 39% 32% 7%	756
	21st to end	Day	3 1 11% 33% 37% 15%	730
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 2 5% 32% 38% 18%	721
	11th to 20th	Day	2 5% 31% 44% 17%	718
	21st to end	Day	3 5% 26% 46% 20%	794
August	1st to 10th	Day	3 5% 25% 50% 17%	726
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 1 4 26% 44% 17%	715
	21st to end	Day	3 1 4 23% 42% 26%	517
September	1st to 10th	Day	6% 1 3 21% 40% 29%	330
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 4 24% 42% 24%	330
	21st to end	Day	11% 2 7% 24% 38% 18%	330
October	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 14% 28% 39% 16%	330
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 5% 28% 26% 27% 5%	330
	21st to end	Day	20% 9% 21% 25% 21% 4	363
November	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 31% 24% 18% 4	330
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 29% 31% 18% 5%	330
	21st to end	Day	16% 12% 35% 23% 12% 2	330
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 11% 29% 28% 11% 3	330
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 7% 35% 28% 11% 1	330
	21st to end	Day	22% 10% 31% 28% 8% 1	363
January	1st to 10th	Night	13% 8% 37% 34% 7% 1	1050
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 12% 33% 33% 6%	1050
	21st to end	Night	16% 10% 34% 33% 7%	1155
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 8% 40% 30% 5%	926
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 13% 38% 27% 4	824
	21st to end	Night	20% 14% 38% 26% 2	686
March	1st to 10th	Night	17% 12% 36% 30% 5%	630
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 10% 39% 31% 4	630
	21st to end	Night	12% 12% 39% 33% 4	693
April	1st to 10th	Night	11% 11% 42% 31% 5%	630
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 12% 42% 29% 5%	623
	21st to end	Night	14% 7% 42% 29% 7% 1	630
May	1st to 10th	Night	12% 7% 37% 36% 7% 1	630
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 36% 35% 14% 1	621
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 29% 42% 15% 2	683
June	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 18% 49% 24% 2	630
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 20% 54% 21%	615
	21st to end	Night	2 14% 44% 36% 4	600
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 8% 44% 38% 4	585
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 5% 44% 45% 3	582
	21st to end	Night	2 4 45% 45% 4	657
August	1st to 10th	Night	2 5% 44% 45% 3	597
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 5% 41% 44% 4	594
	21st to end	Night	4 1 4 42% 43% 6%	660
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 1 8% 40% 38% 5%	600
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 1 8% 39% 39% 3	600
	21st to end	Night	6% 1 14% 43% 33% 4	600
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 18% 42% 31% 2	617
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 23% 41% 18% 1	800
	21st to end	Night	15% 9% 27% 33% 16%	880
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 3 29% 40% 16% 1	820
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 7% 31% 40% 13%	1008
	21st to end	Night	17% 10% 33% 30% 10%	1050
December	1st to 10th	Night	15% 8% 34% 36% 6%	1050
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 7% 33% 34% 7%	1050
	21st to end	Night	17% 8% 36% 32% 6%	1155

Page generated at 2026-06-13 01:31:38. Version ac07

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